Match Info

Esiliiga B - Round 25

Date: 23 August 2026, Sunday


	Viljandi Tulevik		Narva Trans U21

	1	X	2
	3.40	4.00	1.72
	2.95	3.95	1.88
	2.9	4.2	1.88
	2.94	4.38	1.9	Watch
	2.85	4.15	1.86
	2.89	4.22	2.01
	3.1	4.33	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	3 ↓ (3.65)	4.18 ↓ (4.25)	1.86 ↑ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Viljandi Tulevik
30%

Draw
21.6%

Narva Trans U21
48.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.5%

21%

54.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.3%

20.8%

54.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Viljandi Tulevik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Viljandi Tulevik's performance.

Narva Trans U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Narva Trans U21 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Viljandi Tulevik than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Viljandi Tulevik that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Narva Trans U21 than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Narva Trans U21 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
3', 0 - 1, Geveller D. ⚽,
17', 0 - 2, Jegorov A. ⚽,
33', 1 - 2, Tikut H. ⚽,
40', 2 - 2, Levit E. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
57', 2 - 3, (Own goal),
89', 3 - 3, Saag K. ⚽,

Preview

Recent form of Tulevik has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Narva U21 has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Tulevik may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Narva U21 is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Tulevik won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 1.3:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Tulevik won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Narva U21	30	20	3	7	71:36	35	63
5	Tulevik	31	14	5	12	81:64	17	47

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- JK Viljandi Tulevik
Estonian Esiliiga B
20.08.26	Pärnu Vaprus U21 - Viljandi Tulevik	2:2 ✺
16.08.26	Viljandi Tulevik - Levadia U19	1:4 ✺
08.08.26	Tartu Kalev - Viljandi Tulevik	4:2 ✺
01.08.26	Viljandi Tulevik - Tammeka U21	0:0 ✺
25.07.26	Viljandi Tulevik - Jõhvi Phoenix	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 TLLTT
- Narva Trans U21
Estonian Esiliiga B
19.08.26	Levadia U19 - Narva Trans U21	1:0 ✺
15.08.26	Narva Trans U21 - Jõhvi Phoenix	1:0 ✺
01.08.26	Narva Trans U21 - Tallinna Kalev U21	5:0 ✺
19.07.26	Narva Trans U21 - Pärnu Vaprus U21	4:1 ✺
12.07.26	Tammeka U21 - Narva Trans U21	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Esiliiga B
05.07.26	Narva Trans U21 - Viljandi Tulevik	2:1
19.04.26	Viljandi Tulevik - Narva Trans U21	1:1
10.11.24	Narva Trans U21 - Viljandi Tulevik	4:2
21.07.24	Viljandi Tulevik - Narva Trans U21	1:1

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