Match Info

Esiliiga B - Round 23

Date: 16 August 2026, Sunday


	Viljandi Tulevik		Levadia U19

	1	X	2
	1.90	4.00	2.85
	1.62	4.25	3.70
	1.56	4.81	3.78
	1.54	4.75	3.75
	1.55	4.70	4.10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.9)	4.5 ↑ (4.19)	3.64 ↑ (2.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.25

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Viljandi Tulevik
55.2%

Draw
20%

Levadia U19
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.1%

21.3%

31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48%

21.7%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Viljandi Tulevik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Viljandi Tulevik's performance.

Levadia U19 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Levadia U19 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Viljandi Tulevik than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Viljandi Tulevik that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Levadia U19 than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Levadia U19 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
14', 0 - 1, Pocevicius J. ⚽,
45+1', 0 - 2, Guljajev M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
56', 0 - 3, Bogatov P. ⚽,
73', 1 - 3, Saag K. ⚽,
86', 1 - 4, Guljajev M. ⚽,

Preview

Tulevik is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Levadia U19 is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Recently, Levadia U19 has had a series of home games.

Tulevik might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Tulevik won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 3.5:2.5).

Including home match between the teams, Tulevik won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Levadia U19	31	19	2	10	78:52	26	59
5	Tulevik	31	14	5	12	81:64	17	47

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- JK Viljandi Tulevik
Estonian Esiliiga B
08.08.26	Tartu Kalev - Viljandi Tulevik	4:2 ✺
01.08.26	Viljandi Tulevik - Tammeka U21	0:0 ✺
25.07.26	Viljandi Tulevik - Jõhvi Phoenix	0:0 ✺
11.07.26	Tabasalu - Viljandi Tulevik	2:0 ✺
05.07.26	Narva Trans U21 - Viljandi Tulevik	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 LTTLL
- Levadia U19
Estonian Esiliiga B
03.08.26	Pärnu Vaprus U21 - Levadia U19	2:3 ✺
19.07.26	Levadia U19 - Tartu Kalev	0:5 ✺
12.07.26	Levadia U19 - Tallinna Kalev U21	4:1 ✺
04.07.26	Levadia U19 - Tammeka U21	3:2 ✺
22.06.26	Levadia U19 - Jõhvi Phoenix	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Esiliiga B
19.06.26	Viljandi Tulevik - Levadia U19	2:3
02.05.26	Levadia U19 - Viljandi Tulevik	2:5

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