Match Info

Esiliiga B - Round 24

Date: 19 August 2026, Wednesday


	Levadia U19		Narva Trans U21

	1	X	2
	2.90	4.00	1.90
	2.95	3.85	1.92
	2.96	4.14	1.96
	2.89	4.27	1.95
	2.9	4.05	1.85
	2.93	4.52	1.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.92 ↓ (3.19)	4.14 ↓ (4.2)	1.92 ↑ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Levadia U19
31%

Draw
21.9%

Narva Trans U21
47.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.5%

21.7%

49.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.7%

21.1%

51.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Levadia U19 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Narva Trans U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Levadia U19 than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Narva Trans U21 than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Levadia U19 - Narva Trans U21 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Bogatov P. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Now, both teams are in good form.

Levadia U19 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Narva U21 has had a series of home games.

Narva U21 is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Levadia U19 won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:8. (average 2:4).

Including home match between the teams, Levadia U19 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:4.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Narva U21	30	20	3	7	71:36	35	63
2	Levadia U19	31	19	2	10	78:52	26	59

Last Results with these Odds

Narva Trans U21 - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 49.77%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Levadia U19
Estonian Esiliiga B
16.08.26	Viljandi Tulevik - Levadia U19	1:4 ✺
03.08.26	Pärnu Vaprus U21 - Levadia U19	2:3 ✺
19.07.26	Levadia U19 - Tartu Kalev	0:5 ✺
12.07.26	Levadia U19 - Tallinna Kalev U21	4:1 ✺
04.07.26	Levadia U19 - Tammeka U21	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WWLWW
- Narva Trans U21
Estonian Esiliiga B
15.08.26	Narva Trans U21 - Jõhvi Phoenix	1:0 ✺
01.08.26	Narva Trans U21 - Tallinna Kalev U21	5:0 ✺
19.07.26	Narva Trans U21 - Pärnu Vaprus U21	4:1 ✺
12.07.26	Tammeka U21 - Narva Trans U21	2:1 ✺
05.07.26	Narva Trans U21 - Viljandi Tulevik	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Esiliiga B
10.05.26	Narva Trans U21 - Levadia U19	4:4
12.04.26	Levadia U19 - Narva Trans U21	0:4

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