Match Info

Esiliiga B - Round 22

Date: 8 August 2026, Saturday


	Tartu Kalev		Viljandi Tulevik

	1	X	2
	1.73	4.33	3.20
	1.77	4.25	3.15
	1.71	4.64	3.21
	1.69	4.55	3.15
	1.71	4.50	3.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (2.42)	4.45 ↑ (4.2)	3.22 ↑ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tartu Kalev
52.1%

Draw
20.1%

Viljandi Tulevik
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

21.6%

40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

20.9%

39.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tartu Kalev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tartu Kalev's performance.

Viljandi Tulevik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Viljandi Tulevik might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tartu Kalev than the current prediction. (-13.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tartu Kalev that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Viljandi Tulevik than the current prediction. (+11.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Viljandi Tulevik could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Tartu Kalev - Viljandi Tulevik Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
18', 1 - 0, Samulin R. ⚽,
31', 2 - 0, Kruusla G. ⚽,
33', 2 - 1, Tikut H. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
63', 2 - 2, Ott I. ⚽,
77', 3 - 2, Kohv K. ⚽,
89', 4 - 2, Kruusla G. ⚽,

Preview

In recent matches, Tartu Kalev has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Tulevik is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Tartu Kalev may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Tartu Kalev might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Tartu Kalev won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 2.3:2.3).

Including home match between the teams, Tartu Kalev won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Tulevik	31	14	5	12	81:64	17	47
6	Tartu Kalev	30	15	2	13	72:58	14	47

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tartu Kalev
Estonian Esiliiga B
01.08.26	Tartu Kalev - Tabasalu	3:1 ✺
19.07.26	Levadia U19 - Tartu Kalev	0:5 ✺
12.07.26	Tartu Kalev - Tallinna JK Legion	10:2 ✺
04.07.26	Jõhvi Phoenix - Tartu Kalev	3:2 ✺
21.06.26	Tabasalu - Tartu Kalev	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWWLL
- JK Viljandi Tulevik
Estonian Esiliiga B
01.08.26	Viljandi Tulevik - Tammeka U21	0:0 ✺
25.07.26	Viljandi Tulevik - Jõhvi Phoenix	0:0 ✺
11.07.26	Tabasalu - Viljandi Tulevik	2:0 ✺
05.07.26	Narva Trans U21 - Viljandi Tulevik	2:1 ✺
22.06.26	Viljandi Tulevik - Tammeka U21	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 TTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Esiliiga B
13.06.26	Tartu Kalev - Viljandi Tulevik	3:4
03.04.26	Viljandi Tulevik - Tartu Kalev	1:3
06.10.24	Viljandi Tulevik - Tartu Kalev	2:1

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