Match Info
Uganda Cup - Semi-finalsDate: 16 May 2026, Saturday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Villa |
|
Uganda Revenue Authority SC |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.76 |
3.11 |
4.48 |
|
 |
1.76 |
3.27 |
4.59 |
 Watch |
 |
1.8 |
2.8 |
4.6 |
|
 |
1.71 |
3.42 |
4.92 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.76 ↑
(1.49) |
3.15 ↓
(3.6) |
4.65 ↓
(7.11) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Villa
51.7% | Draw
28.8% | Uganda Revenue Authority SC
19.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Villa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Villa's form might have worsened.Uganda Revenue Authority SC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Uganda Revenue Authority SC's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villa than the current prediction. (+12.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Villa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Uganda Revenue Authority SC than the current prediction. (-7.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Uganda Revenue Authority SC, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Villa - Uganda Revenue Authority SC Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 75', 1 - 0, Kasinde I. ⚽,
Preview
First leg result: 2-0.In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Villa won 3.Villa is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).URA SC's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins โ 0).Villa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, Villa is the obvious favorite.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Villa won 5 matches, drew 11 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 20:16. (average 1:0.8).Including home matches between the teams, Villa won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:4. (average 1.3:0.4).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Ugandan Cup | | | 04.05.26 | Uganda Revenue Authority SC - Villa | 0:2 | | Ugandan Super League | | | 14.02.26 | Uganda Revenue Authority SC - Villa | 0:0 | | 11.12.25 | Villa - Uganda Revenue Authority SC | 3:0 | | 30.04.25 | Uganda Revenue Authority SC - Villa | 1:1 | | 04.01.25 | Villa - Uganda Revenue Authority SC | 1:0 | | 07.01.24 | Uganda Revenue Authority SC - Villa | 0:0 | | 17.12.22 | Uganda Revenue Authority SC - Villa | 1:1 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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