The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
UPDF 32.1%
Draw 31.2%
Uganda Revenue Authority SC 36.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
34.4%
30.8%
34.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.6%
28.2%
31.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
UPDF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
Uganda Revenue Authority SC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for UPDF than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for UPDF, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Uganda Revenue Authority SC than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
63', 0 - 1, Mugulusi I. ⚽,
Preview
A mid-table side takes on an opponent fighting to pull away from the danger zone (ranked 10th and 15th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, UPDF won 0.
UPDF has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
URA SC has suffered a run of successive defeats (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
URA SC may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 14 head-to-head meetings, UPDF has recorded 1 win, 4 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 8:19 (averaging 0.6:1.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for UPDF against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 4 draws, and 2 losses, with 2:4 goals (averaging 0.3:0.6 per game).
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