Match Info

ARGENTINA: Primera B - Clausura - Round 4

Date: 9 July 2024, Tuesday

Location: Estadio El Coliseo de Mitre y Puccini (Buenos Aires)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports Play


	Villa Dálmine		Colegiales

	1	X	2
	4.33	3	1.8
	4.5	3	1.9	Watch
	4.63	3.03	1.87
	3.88	3.12	1.96	Watch
	4.33	3.1	1.8
	4.42	3.15	1.87
	4.3	3.05	1.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.34 ↑ (2.7)	3.06 ↑ (2.7)	1.87 ↓ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villa Dálmine
21.1%

Draw
29.9%

Colegiales
49.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.3%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villa Dálmine has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Villa Dálmine's form might have worsened.

Colegiales has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Colegiales's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villa Dálmine than the current prediction. (+14.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Villa Dálmine, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colegiales than the current prediction. (-17.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Colegiales, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.6%	16.7%	77.8%

Villa Dálmine - Colegiales Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Villa Dálmine will win (votes: 1 - 5.9%). Colegiales will win (votes: 14 - 82.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Colegiales: 64.3% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
21', 0 - 1, Diosquez N. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Villa Dálmine
Argentinian Primera B
05.07.24	Ferrocarril Midland - Villa Dálmine	1:0 ✺
30.06.24	Villa Dálmine - Sportivo Dock Sud	0:0 ✺
23.06.24	Los Andes - Villa Dálmine	2:0 ✺
15.06.24	Villa Dálmine - Deportivo Flandria	1:1 ✺
08.06.24	Cañuelas - Villa Dálmine	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LTLTW
- CA Colegiales
Argentinian Primera B
06.07.24	Sportivo Dock Sud - Colegiales	0:0 ✺
29.06.24	Colegiales - Deportivo Flandria	1:0 ✺
22.06.24	Villa San Carlos - Colegiales	0:2 ✺
17.06.24	Sportivo Italiano - Colegiales	0:1 ✺
09.06.24	Colegiales - Argentino de Merlo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
20.02.24	Colegiales - Villa Dálmine	0:0
05.11.14	Colegiales - Villa Dálmine	1:1

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