Match Info

Date: 15 August 2021, Sunday


	Villa Española		River Plate Montevideo

	1	X	2
	4	3.5	1.8	Watch
	3.6	3.4	1.9
	3.7	3.35	1.85
	3.65	3.4	1.89
	3.99	3.75	1.93
	3.6	3.4	1.88
	3.78	3.58	1.9	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.76 ↑ (3.68)	3.48 ↑ (3.38)	1.88 ↓ (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villa Española
24.5%

Draw
26.5%

River Plate Montevideo
49%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.8%

27.1%

48.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6%

18.4%

32.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villa Española has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

River Plate Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villa Española than the current prediction. (+12.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Villa Española, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for River Plate Montevideo than the current prediction. (-16.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for River Plate Montevideo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Villa Española - River Plate Montevideo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 16 and 5).

Two teams are playing changeable.

River Plate could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

River Plate will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Villa Española won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CSD Villa Española
Uruguayan Primera Division
08.08.21	Liverpool Montevideo - Villa Española	2:2 ✺
02.08.21	Villa Española - Cerrito	1:1 ✺
25.07.21	Nacional Montevideo - Villa Española	3:0 ✺
10.07.21	Villa Española - Deportivo Maldonado	2:0 ✺
03.07.21	Villa Española - Montevideo City Torque	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 TTLWL
- River Plate Montevideo
Copa Libertadores
11.08.21	River Plate Montevideo - Atlético Mineiro	0:1 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
07.08.21	River Plate Montevideo - Montevideo City Torque	3:3 ✺
01.08.21	Peñarol de Montevideo - River Plate Montevideo	2:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
21.07.21	Argentinos Juniors - River Plate Montevideo	0:2 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
17.07.21	River Plate Montevideo - Rentistas	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
26.11.16	River Plate Montevideo - Villa Española	2:1

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