Match Info

Torneo Federal - Round 5

Date: 19 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio El Fortin (Bahía Blanca)


	Villa Mitre		Santamarina de Tandil

	1	X	2
	1.42	3.7	7.5
	1.39	3.82	7.83
	1.51	3.64	7.53	Watch
	1.4	3.5	8.5
	1.42	3.94	9.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.5)	3.72 ↑ (3.65)	8.08 ↑ (6.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villa Mitre
64.1%

Draw
24.6%

Santamarina de Tandil
11.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.4%

25.2%

13.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villa Mitre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Santamarina de Tandil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Villa Mitre - Santamarina de Tandil Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Alcaraz M. (G) 2. Almada J. 6. Bacigalupe S. 5. Battigelli A. 11. Fernandez L. 8. Monti L. 7. Mujica P. 3. Pinto M. 4. Silva H. 9. Tarasco R. 10. Tunessi M.	1. Moris U. (G) 2. Dominguez L. 8. Ferrari T. 5. Igartua N. 3. Ihitz N. 9. Ijurco M. 4. Labaroni M. 6. Lucero I. 11. Marchiori T. 7. San Martin B. 10. Sosa D.
Substitutes
20. Castro E. 15. Escobar M. 18. Gomez S. 12. Manganaro T. (G) 14. Olguin U. 19. Paez M. 17. Perez T. 13. Segalerba G. 16. Valeri V.	17. Chavez T. 20. Franco N. 13. Gomez J. 16. Meza F. 18. Perez F. 14. Romat N. 19. Romero T. 15. Sposato T. 12. Turnes I. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
8', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
49', 🟨,
60', Ihitz N. 🟥,
60', 🟨,
71', 🟨,
77', 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Torneo Federal (Losers stage: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Winners stage: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Villa Mitre won 2.

Santamarina may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Villa Mitre is seen as the favorite.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Villa Mitre won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:4. (average 1.3:0.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Villa Mitre won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:1. (average 1.8:0.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Villa Mitre
Argentinian Torneo Federal
12.04.26	Germinal - Villa Mitre	1:0 ✺
29.03.26	Villa Mitre - Círculo Deportivo	2:0 ✺
22.03.26	Kimberley de Mar del Plata - Villa Mitre	1:0 ✺
13.10.25	Villa Mitre - Guillermo Brown	2:1 ✺
05.10.25	Guillermo Brown - Villa Mitre	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LWLWL
- Santamarina de Tandil
Argentinian Torneo Federal
11.04.26	Santamarina de Tandil - Círculo Deportivo	4:0 ✺
05.04.26	Kimberley de Mar del Plata - Santamarina de Tandil	0:0 ✺
28.03.26	Santamarina de Tandil - Sol de Mayo	0:2 ✺
22.03.26	Guillermo Brown - Santamarina de Tandil	2:2 ✺
14.09.25	Santamarina de Tandil - Sportivo Estudiantes San Luis	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WTLTT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
18.05.25	Villa Mitre - Santamarina de Tandil	3:0
15.03.25	Santamarina de Tandil - Villa Mitre	1:1
17.11.24	Santamarina de Tandil - Villa Mitre	1:1
10.11.24	Villa Mitre - Santamarina de Tandil	1:0
11.08.24	Villa Mitre - Santamarina de Tandil	1:1
19.05.24	Santamarina de Tandil - Villa Mitre	0:0
23.03.24	Villa Mitre - Santamarina de Tandil	2:0

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