Match Info

Torneo Federal - Round 8

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Raul Conti (Puerto Madryn)


	Guillermo Brown		Villa Mitre

	1	X	2
	3	2.72	2.42
	3.04	2.55	2.49
	3.33	2.55	2.65	Watch
	3.1	2.6	2.45
	3.14	2.6	2.51
	2.68	2.72	2.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.05 ↑ (2.68)	2.62 ↓ (2.72)	2.55 ↓ (2.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guillermo Brown
29.8%

Draw
34.6%

Villa Mitre
35.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.9%

33.4%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.8%

34.2%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guillermo Brown has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Villa Mitre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guillermo Brown than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villa Mitre than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Guillermo Brown - Villa Mitre Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Grinovero A. (G) 9. Cucchi P. 6. Diaz R. 5. Giaccone F. 4. Kostelak A. 8. Mera B. 3. Moreno E. 2. Paparelli R. 10. Rivero M. 11. Vallejos I. 7. Zapulla I.	1. Mazza J. P. (G) 2. Almada J. 6. Bacigalupe S. 5. Battigelli A. 11. Fernandez L. 8. Monti L. 7. Mujica P. 3. Pinto M. 4. Silva H. 9. Tunessi M. 10. Valeri V.
Substitutes
13. Alvarez A. 14. Bravo I. 15. Conde M. 20. Dezi L. 18. Hang F. 19. Ojeda A. 17. Silva F. 12. Ullua S. (G) 16. Varela N.	12. Alcaraz M. (G) 15. Avit D. 20. Ayala V. 18. Gomez S. 17. Gonzalez E. 19. Ibarra T. 14. Olguin U. 16. Perez T. 13. Segalerba G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Bacigalupe S. (Own goal),
36', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
62', 🟨,
90+3', 🟨,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 9 in the zone Torneo Federal (Losers stage: ) and 7 in the zone Torneo Federal (Losers stage: )).

Guillermo Brown is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Villa Mitre has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Guillermo Brown may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Guillermo Brown won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 1.8:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Guillermo Brown won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guillermo Brown
Argentinian Torneo Federal
02.05.26	Círculo Deportivo - Guillermo Brown	1:1 ✺
26.04.26	Guillermo Brown - Kimberley de Mar del Plata	3:4 ✺
19.04.26	Sol de Mayo - Guillermo Brown	1:0 ✺
05.04.26	Guillermo Brown - Olimpo Bahia Blanca	0:2 ✺
29.03.26	Alvarado - Guillermo Brown	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 TLLLL
- Club Villa Mitre
Argentinian Torneo Federal
03.05.26	Villa Mitre - Olimpo Bahia Blanca	0:0 ✺
26.04.26	Alvarado - Villa Mitre	1:1 ✺
19.04.26	Villa Mitre - Santamarina de Tandil	0:0 ✺
12.04.26	Germinal - Villa Mitre	1:0 ✺
29.03.26	Villa Mitre - Círculo Deportivo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 TTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
13.10.25	Villa Mitre - Guillermo Brown	2:1
05.10.25	Guillermo Brown - Villa Mitre	3:0
21.06.25	Guillermo Brown - Villa Mitre	2:1
20.04.25	Villa Mitre - Guillermo Brown	2:1

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