Match Info

Torneo Federal - Round 17

Date: 12 July 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio El Fortin (Bahía Blanca)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Villa Mitre		Guillermo Brown

	1	X	2
	1.43	3.40	8.25
	1.29	4.25	10.00	Watch
	1.45	3.55	8.42
	1.45	3.49	10.93	Watch
	1.43	3.45	7.15
	1.42	3.78	9.99
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.49)	3.65 ↑ (3.45)	9.12 ↑ (6.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villa Mitre
64.9%

Draw
25.1%

Guillermo Brown
10%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.5%

26.1%

13.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.2%

25.4%

13%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villa Mitre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Guillermo Brown has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villa Mitre than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guillermo Brown than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Villa Mitre - Guillermo Brown Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (3.59) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mazza J. P. (G) 2. Almada J. 8. Battigelli A. 5. Cavagnero N. 10. Gonzalez E. 9. Ibarra T. 7. Monti L. 11. Mujica P. 6. Olguin U. 4. Perez T. 3. Pinto M.	1. Grinovero A. (G) 6. Alvarez A. 9. Ayala E. 5. Chiavetto A. 11. Esmay V. 10. Goiburu E. 4. Kostelak A. 8. Mera B. 3. Moreno E. 2. Varela N. 7. Zapulla I.
Substitutes
12. Alcaraz M. (G) 16. Avit D. 20. Benitez B. 17. Cordoba G. G. 14. Escobar M. 18. Gomez S. 13. Sastre E. 19. Tunessi M. 15. Valeri V.	14. Conde M. 19. Dezi L. 17. Hang F. 20. Paileman R. 16. Rivero M. 18. Silva A. 15. Silva F. 12. Ullua S. (G) 13. Villegas F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', 🟨,
22', 1 - 0, Ibarra T. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
50', 2 - 0, Cordoba G. G. ⚽,
63', 3 - 0, Monti L. ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Winners stage: ) and 7 in the zone Torneo Federal (Losers stage: )).

Villa Mitre is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Guillermo Brown has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Villa Mitre is the clear favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Villa Mitre won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 1:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Villa Mitre won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Villa Mitre
Argentinian Torneo Federal
05.07.26	Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Villa Mitre	0:0 ✺
28.06.26	Villa Mitre - Alvarado	1:0 ✺
20.06.26	Santamarina de Tandil - Villa Mitre	0:2 ✺
14.06.26	Villa Mitre - Germinal	0:0 ✺
31.05.26	Círculo Deportivo - Villa Mitre	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 TWWTT
- Guillermo Brown
Argentinian Torneo Federal
05.07.26	Guillermo Brown - Círculo Deportivo	1:0 ✺
28.06.26	Kimberley de Mar del Plata - Guillermo Brown	3:0 ✺
07.06.26	Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Guillermo Brown	0:0 ✺
31.05.26	Guillermo Brown - Alvarado	0:0 ✺
24.05.26	Santamarina de Tandil - Guillermo Brown	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 WLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
10.05.26	Guillermo Brown - Villa Mitre	1:0
13.10.25	Villa Mitre - Guillermo Brown	2:1
05.10.25	Guillermo Brown - Villa Mitre	3:0
21.06.25	Guillermo Brown - Villa Mitre	2:1
20.04.25	Villa Mitre - Guillermo Brown	2:1

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