Match Info

BRAZIL: COPA DO BRASIL - 1/64-FINALS

Date: 28 February 2024, Wednesday


	Villa Nova AC		Aparecidense

	1	X	2
	2.3	3	2.8
	2.3	3.1	2.8
	2.4	3.1	3	Watch
	2.35	2.96	2.8
	2.35	3.07	3.06
	2.25	3.2	2.9
	2.35	3.22	3.05
	2.4	3.1	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↓ (2.44)	3.09 ↓ (3.25)	2.93 ↑ (2.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villa Nova AC
39.1%

Draw
29.6%

Aparecidense
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.2%

28%

34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3%

29.6%

32.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villa Nova AC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Aparecidense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villa Nova AC than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aparecidense than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Villa Nova AC - Aparecidense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

In case of a draw away team advances.

Recent matches Villa Nova is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Aparecidense is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Aparecidense could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Villa Nova AC
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
24.02.24	Villa Nova AC - Tombense	0:3 ✺
18.02.24	América Mineiro - Villa Nova AC	0:0 ✺
14.02.24	Villa Nova AC - Athletic Club	1:4 ✺
08.02.24	Villa Nova AC - Ipatinga	3:3 ✺
04.02.24	Patrocinense - Villa Nova AC	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 LTLTW
- AA Aparecidense
Brazilian Campeonato Goiano
25.02.24	Goiânia - Aparecidense	0:1 ✺
18.02.24	Aparecidense - Goiatuba	1:1 ✺
14.02.24	Jataiense - Aparecidense	1:4 ✺
10.02.24	Aparecidense - Morrinhos	3:1 ✺
07.02.24	Aparecidense - Goianésia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WTWWT

Villa Nova AC - Aparecidense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide