Match Info

BRAZIL: Mineiro - Round 8

Date: 12 February 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estádio Municipal Castor Cifuentes (Minas Gerais)

Referee: Candido Alves R. (Bra)


	Villa Nova AC		Tombense

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.85	3.2	1.85	Watch
	3.8	3.52	1.93
	3.88	3.4	1.86	Watch
	4	3.1	1.85
	4.18	3.3	1.85
	3.85	3.2	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.93 ↑ (3.79)	3.29 ↑ (3.29)	1.87 ↑ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villa Nova AC
23.3%

Draw
27.8%

Tombense
49%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.9%

27.5%

48.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23%

26.5%

50.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villa Nova AC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Tombense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villa Nova AC than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tombense than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Villa Nova AC - Tombense Predictions

Users Predictions: Tombense will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Victor Lube (G) 2. Norberto 3. Ewerton Pascoa 4. Caique Baiano 6. Luis Felipe 8. Jorginho 10. Anderson Paulista 20. Joao Torres 7. Robinho 9. Vinicius Tanque 11. Rodrigo Gaia	1. Matheus Aurelio (G) 2. Julio Henrique 3. Roger Carvalho (C) 4. Rony Fernandes 6. Dudu Mandai 5. Joao Vitor 10. Pedro Oliveira 8. Fabricio 11. Joao Pedro 9. Douglas Coutinho 7. Jefferson Renan
Substitutes
16. Cesar 14. Davison Dutra 19. Douglas 23. Fernando Neto 12. Geaze (G) 25. Gleisinho 5. Joao Denoni 15. Joao Vitor 18. Leo Rafael 17. Paulinho 21. Vitinho 13. Yago Rocha	21. Alisson 22. Anderson Ligeiro 20. Cleiton 14. Joao Mandovani 18. Jupi 17. Lucas Mila 15. Lucas Santos 19. Luiz Felipe 16. Tarcisio 13. Vinicius Baracioli 12. Vinicius Dias (G)
Coaches
Souza E. C.	Raul Cabral

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
30', 0 - 1, Fabricio ⚽, Joao Vitor (A),
34', Joao Vitor 🟨,
39', Joao Vitor ↓, Lucas Mila ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Jorginho ↓, Gleisinho ↑,
46', Luis Felipe ↓, Cesar ↑,
60', Anderson Paulista ↓, Fernando Neto ↑,
63', Fernando Neto 🟨,
64', Jefferson Renan ↓, Cleiton ↑,
64', Pedro Oliveira ↓, Anderson Ligeiro ↑,
80', Julio Henrique ↓, Vinicius Baracioli ↑,
80', Joao Pedro ↓, Lucas Santos ↑,
83', Robinho ↓, Douglas ↑,
83', Vinicius Tanque ↓, Leo Rafael ↑,
86', 0 - 2, Norberto (Own goal),

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Villa Nova won 0.

Villa Nova has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Tombense is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Tombense will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Villa Nova won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 11:20 (average 1:1.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Villa Nova won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6:8 (average 1.2:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Villa Nova AC
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
08.02.25	Betim - Villa Nova AC	1:1 ✺
05.02.25	Villa Nova AC - Itabirito	1:4 ✺
01.02.25	Villa Nova AC - Atlético Mineiro	0:1 ✺
29.01.25	Athletic Club - Villa Nova AC	6:1 ✺
26.01.25	América Mineiro - Villa Nova AC	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 TLLLL
- Tombense FC
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
08.02.25	Tombense - América Mineiro	1:0 ✺
05.02.25	Tombense - Aymorés	1:0 ✺
01.02.25	Athletic Club - Tombense	3:1 ✺
29.01.25	Tombense - Pouso Alegre	1:1 ✺
26.01.25	Democrata GV - Tombense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
24.02.24	Villa Nova AC - Tombense	0:3
01.04.23	Tombense - Villa Nova AC	3:2
26.03.23	Villa Nova AC - Tombense	1:2
27.02.23	Tombense - Villa Nova AC	3:0
06.02.22	Tombense - Villa Nova AC	2:1
08.03.20	Villa Nova AC - Tombense	1:2
16.02.19	Tombense - Villa Nova AC	3:1

Villa Nova AC - Tombense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide