Match Info

Serie D - Group B - Round 17

Date: 21 December 2025, Sunday


	Villa Valle		Breno

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.41	3.48	Watch
	2	3	3.4
	1.97	3.28	3.45
	1.94	3.33	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2.35)	3.26 ↓ (3.47)	3.46 ↑ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villa Valle
46%

Draw
27.8%

Breno
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39%

26.4%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

26.5%

34.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villa Valle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Villa Valle's performance.

Breno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Breno might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villa Valle than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Villa Valle that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Breno than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Breno could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Villa Valle - Breno Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Villa Valle (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Villa Valle (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
36', 1 - 0, Semprini M. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
50', 2 - 0, ⚽,
74', 3 - 0, ⚽,
85', 4 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Villa Valle won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Villa Valle won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 1.3:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Villa Valle won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Villa Valle - the odds 2.35 are the expected chance of winning is 38.95%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Villa Valle
Italian Serie D - Group B
14.12.25	Oltrepo - Villa Valle	1:2 ✺
07.12.25	Villa Valle - Caldiero Terme	2:1 ✺
30.11.25	Virtus CiseranoBergamo - Villa Valle	1:0 ✺
23.11.25	Villa Valle - Milan Futuro	2:1 ✺
16.11.25	Casatese - Villa Valle	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWLWL
- Breno Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group B
14.12.25	Breno - Varesina	2:0 ✺
07.12.25	Brusaporto - Breno	3:2 ✺
30.11.25	Breno - Real Calepina	2:1 ✺
23.11.25	Sondrio - Breno	2:2 ✺
16.11.25	Breno - Oltrepo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group B
12.02.23	Villa Valle - Breno	1:2
09.10.22	Breno - Villa Valle	1:2
15.05.22	Breno - Villa Valle	0:2
20.03.22	Villa Valle - Breno	1:2
02.05.21	Villa Valle - Breno	1:1
17.01.21	Breno - Villa Valle	3:1

Villa Valle - Breno: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide