Match Info

Serie D - Group B - Round 16

Date: 14 December 2025, Sunday


	Breno		Varesina

	1	X	2
	2.65	3.08	2.49
	2.64	3.27	2.45	Watch
	2.63	2.9	2.5
	2.62	3.04	2.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↑ (2.35)	3.07 ↓ (3.47)	2.48 ↓ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Breno
34.3%

Draw
29.4%

Varesina
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39%

26.4%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

26.1%

34.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Breno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Varesina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Breno than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Breno, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varesina than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Breno - Varesina Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
63', 1 - 0, ⚽,
90+2', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 12 and 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out: ))

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Breno won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Breno won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Breno Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group B
07.12.25	Brusaporto - Breno	3:2 ✺
30.11.25	Breno - Real Calepina	2:1 ✺
23.11.25	Sondrio - Breno	2:2 ✺
16.11.25	Breno - Oltrepo	0:1 ✺
09.11.25	Folgore Caratese - Breno	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWTLL
- ASD Varesina
Italian Serie D - Group B
07.12.25	Varesina - Milan Futuro	1:2 ✺
30.11.25	Chievo - Varesina	1:2 ✺
23.11.25	Varesina - Virtus CiseranoBergamo	0:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
19.11.25	Club Milano - Varesina	1:0 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group B
16.11.25	Leon - Varesina	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group B
15.01.25	Breno - Varesina	1:1
18.09.24	Varesina - Breno	0:0
15.01.23	Breno - Varesina	2:0
11.09.22	Varesina - Breno	3:1

Breno - Varesina: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide