Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 12 - Round 15

Date: 20 December 2025, Saturday


	Villa de Santa Brígida		Mensajero

	1	X	2
	2.58	2.88	2.68
	2.67	2.86	2.77
	2.68	2.82	2.78
	2.61	2.81	2.67
	2.62	2.75	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↓ (2.65)	2.82 ↑ (2.76)	2.74 ↓ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villa de Santa Brígida
34.6%

Draw
32.2%

Mensajero
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.2%

32.9%

33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.8%

34.5%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villa de Santa Brígida has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Mensajero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villa de Santa Brígida than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mensajero than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Villa de Santa Brígida - Mensajero Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+3', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 12 (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santa Brígida won 3.

Santa Brígida has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Mensajero is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Santa Brígida has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Santa Brígida won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1.4:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Santa Brígida won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:1. (average 1.6:0.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Villa de Santa Brígida
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
06.12.25	Villa de Santa Brígida - San Bartolomé	1:1 ✺
23.11.25	UD San Fernando - Villa de Santa Brígida	2:1 ✺
14.11.25	Villa de Santa Brígida - Arucas	1:0 ✺
08.11.25	Villa de Santa Brígida - Lanzarote	2:0 ✺
25.10.25	Villa de Santa Brígida - Arcángel San Miguel	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TLWWT
- CD Mensajero
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
06.12.25	Arcángel San Miguel - Mensajero	0:0 ✺
16.11.25	Tenisca - Mensajero	0:2 ✺
09.11.25	Mensajero - Real Unión	2:0 ✺
01.11.25	Tamaraceite - Mensajero	2:2 ✺
26.10.25	Mensajero - Herbania	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 TWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
11.05.25	Villa de Santa Brígida - Mensajero	1:0
11.01.25	Mensajero - Villa de Santa Brígida	5:1
19.02.23	Mensajero - Villa de Santa Brígida	2:0
15.10.22	Villa de Santa Brígida - Mensajero	1:0
01.09.19	Villa de Santa Brígida - Mensajero	2:0
11.11.18	Villa de Santa Brígida - Mensajero	1:0
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
04.03.18	Villa de Santa Brígida - Mensajero	3:1

Villa de Santa Brígida - Mensajero: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide