Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 12 - ROUND 23

Date: 3 March 2024, Sunday


	Villa de Santa Brígida		Ibarra

	1	X	2
	1.47	3.75	5.75
	1.51	3.66	5.83
	1.48	3.8	6.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 (1.49)	3.74 ↑ (3.69)	5.97 ↑ (5.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villa de Santa Brígida
60.7%

Draw
24.2%

Ibarra
15.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.1%

24.3%

15.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.3%

23.4%

15%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villa de Santa Brígida has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Ibarra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villa de Santa Brígida than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ibarra than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 9 and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Villa de Santa Brígida won 3.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Ibarra could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Villa de Santa Brígida is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Villa de Santa Brígida won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 16-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Villa de Santa Brígida won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 12-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Villa de Santa Brígida
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
25.02.24	Atlético Victoria - Villa de Santa Brígida	3:0 ✺
17.02.24	Villa de Santa Brígida - San Bartolomé	3:0 ✺
11.02.24	Gran Tarajal - Villa de Santa Brígida	0:1 ✺
02.02.24	Villa de Santa Brígida - Teror	1:1 ✺
27.01.24	Unión Sur Yaiza - Villa de Santa Brígida	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWWTL
- UD Ibarra
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
24.02.24	Ibarra - Lanzarote	1:1 ✺
18.02.24	Tenerife B - Ibarra	0:0 ✺
10.02.24	Ibarra - La Cuadra-Unión Puerto	0:1 ✺
01.02.24	Ibarra - Atlético Victoria	1:0 ✺
27.01.24	San Bartolomé - Ibarra	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.2 TTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
14.10.23	Ibarra - Villa de Santa Brígida	0:3
06.04.23	Ibarra - Villa de Santa Brígida	0:0
10.12.22	Villa de Santa Brígida - Ibarra	4:0
19.06.21	Villa de Santa Brígida - Ibarra	4:1
15.05.21	Ibarra - Villa de Santa Brígida	0:0
15.12.19	Villa de Santa Brígida - Ibarra	1:1
13.01.19	Villa de Santa Brígida - Ibarra	2:1

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