Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 18 - Round 10

Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday


	Villacañas		Marchamalo

	1	X	2
	1.8	3	4.45
	1.77	3.16	4.84
	1.83	3.04	4.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (1.98)	3.07 ↑ (2.92)	4.58 ↑ (3.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villacañas
50.5%

Draw
29.6%

Marchamalo
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.8%

31%

23.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6%

29.8%

22.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villacañas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Marchamalo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villacañas than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marchamalo than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Villacañas - Marchamalo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 6 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Villacañas won 2.

Villacañas has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Marchamalo's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Marchamalo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Villacañas has had a series of away games.

Villacañas might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Villacañas won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 0.9:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Villacañas won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Villacañas
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
01.11.25	Azuqueca - Villacañas	0:0 ✺
18.10.25	Tarancón - Villacañas	0:0 ✺
05.10.25	Calvo Sotelo Puertollano - Villacañas	2:1 ✺
21.09.25	Sonseca - Villacañas	0:2 ✺
13.09.25	Illescas - Villacañas	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 TTLWT
- CD Marchamalo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
02.11.25	Marchamalo - Illescas	0:1 ✺
25.10.25	Manchego - Marchamalo	2:1 ✺
19.10.25	Marchamalo - Villarrobledo	1:1 ✺
12.10.25	Albacete B - Marchamalo	2:1 ✺
04.10.25	Marchamalo - La Solana	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
22.03.25	Villacañas - Marchamalo	1:0
09.11.24	Marchamalo - Villacañas	2:0
28.03.24	Villacañas - Marchamalo	2:0
29.10.23	Marchamalo - Villacañas	1:1
19.02.23	Villacañas - Marchamalo	1:1
15.10.22	Marchamalo - Villacañas	3:2
14.02.21	Villacañas - Marchamalo	0:2

Villacañas - Marchamalo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide