Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 27

Date: 16 March 2025, Sunday


	Villanovense		Juventud de Torremolinos

	1	X	2
	2.87	2.75	2.4
	2.9	2.8	2.49
	2.97	2.78	2.57
	3.01	2.77	2.53	Watch
	2.99	2.84	2.53
	2.9	2.8	2.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.94 ↓ (3.67)	2.79 ↓ (3.13)	2.5 ↑ (2.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villanovense
31%

Draw
32.6%

Juventud de Torremolinos
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.2%

29.5%

45.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.5%

28.7%

46.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villanovense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Villanovense's performance.

Juventud de Torremolinos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Juventud de Torremolinos might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villanovense than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Villanovense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventud de Torremolinos than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Juventud de Torremolinos could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Villanovense - Juventud de Torremolinos Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
78', 0 - 1, Penarroya C. ⚽,
84', 0 - 2, Castillo F. ⚽,
90', Dorado Perez C. D. 🟥,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Recent matches Villanovense is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Torremolinos is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Torremolinos could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Torremolinos have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Villanovense won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Villanovense
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
09.03.25	Estepona - Villanovense	1:0 ✺
02.03.25	Villanovense - UCAM Murcia	0:0 ✺
23.02.25	Xerez Deportivo - Villanovense	1:0 ✺
16.02.25	Villanovense - Don Benito	2:0 ✺
09.02.25	Minera - Villanovense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LTLWT
- Juventud de Torremolinos CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
09.03.25	Juventud de Torremolinos - Linense	1:0 ✺
22.02.25	Juventud de Torremolinos - Orihuela	2:1 ✺
16.02.25	Cadiz CF B - Juventud de Torremolinos	1:1 ✺
09.02.25	Juventud de Torremolinos - Xerez CD	1:1 ✺
02.02.25	Juventud de Torremolinos - Estepona	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
03.11.24	Juventud de Torremolinos - Villanovense	2:2

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