Match Info

LaLiga - Round 4

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio de la Ceramica (Villarreal)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	New World Sport 3, SuperSport LaLiga
Albania	SuperSport 2
Argentina	DSports 1
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2
Australia	beIN Connect
Austria	Laola1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 3
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	fubo Sports Network
Croatia	SportKlub 1
Cyprus	Cytavision Sports 2, Cytavision Sports 2, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	Disney+
Ecuador	DAZN
Finland	Disney+
France	DAZN France, Disney+
Germany	DAZN Deutsch, Laola1
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 7
Hungary	TV2 Play Premium
Iceland	Disney+
India	FanCode, FanCode
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	ART Sport 2
Malta	TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Sky Sport
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Poland	CANAL+ Sport
Portugal	DAZN 1, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	Digi Sport 4, Prima Sport 3
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Slovakia	Nova Sport 4, Voyo
Slovenia	SportKlub 2
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	M+ LaLiga
Sweden	Disney+
Turkey	S Sport, S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2
United-kingdom	Disney+
Uruguay	DAZN, DSports 310
Usa	ESPN+, SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	DAZN, DSports 1


	Villarreal		Deportivo A Coruña

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.75	7.00	Watch
	1.46	4.80	6.25
	1.42	4.70	7.00	Watch
	1.48	5.10	6.96
	1.52	4.36	6.32	Watch
	1.45	4.85	7.00
	1.48	4.82	6.76	Watch
	1.48	4.90	6.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.5)	4.79 ↑ (4.23)	6.74 ↓ (9.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.75

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villarreal
65.6%

Draw
20.1%

Deportivo A Coruña
14.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.8%

23.3%

10.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.8%

22.3%

10.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villarreal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Deportivo A Coruña has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villarreal than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo A Coruña than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.1%	3.2%	9.7%

Villarreal - Deportivo A Coruña Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Deportivo (2.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS, 1st Half - yes (4.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 4.5 - over (4.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Deportivo (2.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.25 - Villarreal (1.90) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Users Predictions: Villarreal will win (27 of 31 users predict this - 87.1%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.3% – 98.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Villarreal will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Villarreal (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Deportivo (votes: 2 - 22.2%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Luiz Junior (G) 3. Freeman A. 2. Costa L. 12. Veiga R. 23. Cardona S. 19. Pepe N. 24. Saliba N. 18. Gueye P. 10. Moleiro A. 7. Moreno G. (C) 22. Perez A.	13. Roman L. (G) 23. Navarro X. (C) 4. Noubi L. 20. Gimenez J. 12. Quagliata G. 19. Cruz Luismi 21. Soriano M. 16. Amatucci L. 14. Rodriguez R. 32. Nsongo B. 7. Aubameyang P.
Substitutes
11. Akhomach I. 17. Buchanan T. 14. Comesana S. 5. Diatta A. 13. Gomez R. (G) 25. Gulacsi P. (G) 16. Macia C. 9. Mikautadze G. 15. Mourino S. 6. Navarro P. 21. Oluwaseyi T.	17. Angelino 18. Asp J. 6. Casado M. 9. Eddahchouri Z. 22. Ede B. 25. Fernandez A. (G) 34. Gijselhart T. 10. Hernandez Y. 15. Loureiro M. 11. Mella D. 24. Traore A. 8. Villares D.
Coaches
Perez I.	Hidalgo A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
19', 1 - 0, Pepe N. ⚽, Perez A. (A),
43', 1 - 1, Cruz Luismi ⚽, Aubameyang P. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
54', Rodriguez R. ↓, Hernandez Y. ↑,
62', Perez A. ↓, Mikautadze G. ↑,
62', Gueye P. ↓, Comesana S. ↑,
62', Moleiro A. ↓, Buchanan T. ↑,
66', Soriano M. ↓, Casado M. ↑,
66', Nsongo B. ↓, Traore A. ↑,
66', Gimenez J. ↓, Loureiro M. ↑,
76', 2 - 1, Traore A. (Own goal),
77', Moreno G. ↓, Oluwaseyi T. ↑,
77', Cruz Luismi ↓, Eddahchouri Z. ↑,
79', 2 - 2, Eddahchouri Z. ⚽, Aubameyang P. (A),
81', Comesana S. 🟨,
83', Costa L. ↓, Akhomach I. ↑,
87', Buchanan T. 🟨,
88', 2 - 3, Aubameyang P. ⚽,
90+1', Amatucci L. 🟨,
90+3', Hernandez Y. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Villarreal won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Deportivo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Villarreal has had a series of away games.

In this match, Villarreal is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in Villarreal: Foyth J. (Injury)

There will not play in Deportivo: Altimira A. (Red Card) Carrillo N. (Injury) Casado M. (Coach's decision) Traore A. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Villarreal won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1.2:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Villarreal won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1:0.8).

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga for now

Villarreal: 0.44% Dep. A Coruna: 0.26%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Dep. A Coruna	7	2	4	1	10:8	2	10
9	Villarreal	7	2	2	3	13:12	1	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Villarreal CF
Spanish LaLiga
28.08.26	Deportivo Alavés - Villarreal	1:0 ✺
23.08.26	Atlético Madrid - Villarreal	2:2 ✺
16.08.26	Racing Santander - Villarreal	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
05.08.26	Villarreal - Levante	1:0 ✺
Como Cup
01.08.26	Lens - Villarreal	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LTTWL
- Deportivo A Coruña
Spanish LaLiga
30.08.26	Deportivo A Coruña - Valencia	3:1 ✺
24.08.26	Málaga - Deportivo A Coruña	1:1 ✺
17.08.26	Deportivo A Coruña - Elche	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
12.08.26	Deportivo A Coruña - Real Madrid	0:1 ✺
06.08.26	Fiorentina - Deportivo A Coruña	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
12.05.18	Deportivo A Coruña - Villarreal	2:4
07.01.18	Villarreal - Deportivo A Coruña	1:1
14.05.17	Villarreal - Deportivo A Coruña	0:0
14.01.17	Deportivo A Coruña - Villarreal	0:0
Club Friendly
09.08.16	Deportivo A Coruña - Villarreal	2:0
Spanish LaLiga
08.05.16	Villarreal - Deportivo A Coruña	0:2
03.01.16	Deportivo A Coruña - Villarreal	1:2

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