Match Info

LaLiga - Round 4

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio de la Ceramica (Villarreal) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	New World Sport 3, SuperSport LaLiga
Albania	21:00	SuperSport 2
Argentina	16:00	DSports 1
Armenia	23:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2
Australia	05:00	beIN Connect
Austria	21:00	Laola1
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Premium 3
Bulgaria	22:00	Max Sport 4
Canada	15:00	fubo Sports Network
Croatia	21:00	SportKlub 1
Cyprus	22:00	Cytavision Sports 2, Cytavision Sports 2, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Czech Republic	21:00	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	21:00	Disney+
Ecuador	14:00	DAZN
Finland	22:00	Disney+
France	21:00	DAZN France, Disney+
Germany	21:00	DAZN Deutsch, Laola1
Greece	22:00	COSMOTE Sport 7
Hungary	21:00	TV2 Play Premium
Iceland	19:00	Disney+
India	00:30	FanCode, FanCode
Italy	21:00	DAZN Italia
Japan	04:00	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	21:00	ART Sport 2
Malta	21:00	TSN Malta 4
Mexico	13:00	Sky Sport
Netherlands	21:00	Ziggo Sport 2
Norway	21:00	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Poland	21:00	CANAL+ Sport
Portugal	20:00	DAZN 1, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	22:00	Digi Sport 4, Prima Sport 3
Russia	22:00	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV
Serbia	21:00	Arena Premium 2
Slovakia	21:00	Nova Sport 4, Voyo
Slovenia	21:00	SportKlub 2
South America	—	DGO Latin America
Spain	21:00	M+ LaLiga
Sweden	21:00	Disney+
Turkey	22:00	S Sport, S Sport+
Ukraine	22:00	MEGOGO Futbol 2
United Kingdom	20:00	Disney+
Uruguay	16:00	DAZN, DSports 310
Usa	15:00	ESPN+, SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	15:00	DAZN, DSports 1


	Villarreal		Deportivo A Coruña

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.75	7.00	Watch
	1.46	4.80	6.25
	1.42	4.70	7.00	Watch
	1.48	5.10	6.96
	1.52	4.36	6.32	Watch
	1.45	4.85	7.00
	1.48	4.82	6.76	Watch
	1.48	4.90	6.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.5)	4.79 ↑ (4.23)	6.74 ↓ (9.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.75

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villarreal
65.6%

Draw
20.1%

Deportivo A Coruña
14.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

65.8%

23.3%

10.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.8%

22.3%

10.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villarreal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Deportivo A Coruña has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villarreal than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo A Coruña than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.1%	3.2%	9.7%

Villarreal - Deportivo A Coruña Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Deportivo (2.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS, 1st Half - yes (4.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 4.5 - over (4.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Deportivo (2.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.25 - Villarreal (1.90) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Users Predictions: Villarreal will win (27 of 31 users predict this - 87.1%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.3% – 98.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Villarreal will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Villarreal (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Deportivo (votes: 2 - 22.2%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Luiz Junior (G) 3. Freeman A. 2. Costa L. 12. Veiga R. 23. Cardona S. 19. Pepe N. 24. Saliba N. 18. Gueye P. 10. Moleiro A. 7. Moreno G. (C) 22. Perez A.	13. Roman L. (G) 23. Navarro X. (C) 4. Noubi L. 20. Gimenez J. 12. Quagliata G. 19. Cruz Luismi 21. Soriano M. 16. Amatucci L. 14. Rodriguez R. 32. Nsongo B. 7. Aubameyang P.
Substitutes
11. Akhomach I. 17. Buchanan T. 14. Comesana S. 5. Diatta A. 13. Gomez R. (G) 25. Gulacsi P. (G) 16. Macia C. 9. Mikautadze G. 15. Mourino S. 6. Navarro P. 21. Oluwaseyi T.	17. Angelino 18. Asp J. 6. Casado M. 9. Eddahchouri Z. 22. Ede B. 25. Fernandez A. (G) 34. Gijselhart T. 10. Hernandez Y. 15. Loureiro M. 11. Mella D. 24. Traore A. 8. Villares D.
Coaches
Perez I.	Hidalgo A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
19', 1 - 0, Pepe N. ⚽, Perez A. (A),
43', 1 - 1, Cruz Luismi ⚽, Aubameyang P. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
54', Rodriguez R. ↓, Hernandez Y. ↑,
62', Perez A. ↓, Mikautadze G. ↑,
62', Gueye P. ↓, Comesana S. ↑,
62', Moleiro A. ↓, Buchanan T. ↑,
66', Soriano M. ↓, Casado M. ↑,
66', Nsongo B. ↓, Traore A. ↑,
66', Gimenez J. ↓, Loureiro M. ↑,
76', 2 - 1, Traore A. (Own goal),
77', Moreno G. ↓, Oluwaseyi T. ↑,
77', Cruz Luismi ↓, Eddahchouri Z. ↑,
79', 2 - 2, Eddahchouri Z. ⚽, Aubameyang P. (A),
81', Comesana S. 🟨,
83', Costa L. ↓, Akhomach I. ↑,
87', Buchanan T. 🟨,
88', 2 - 3, Aubameyang P. ⚽,
90+1', Amatucci L. 🟨,
90+3', Hernandez Y. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Villarreal won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Deportivo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Villarreal has had a series of away games.

In this match, Villarreal is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in Villarreal: Foyth J. (Injury)

There will not play in Deportivo: Altimira A. (Red Card) Carrillo N. (Injury) Casado M. (Coach's decision) Traore A. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Villarreal won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1.2:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Villarreal won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Villarreal	10	3	3	4	15:14	1	12
11	Dep. A Coruna	10	2	5	3	13:13	0	11

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga for now

Villarreal: 0.41% Dep. A Coruna: 0.15%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Villarreal CF
Spanish LaLiga
28.08.26	Deportivo Alavés - Villarreal	1:0 ✺
23.08.26	Atlético Madrid - Villarreal	2:2 ✺
16.08.26	Racing Santander - Villarreal	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
05.08.26	Villarreal - Levante	1:0 ✺
Como Cup
01.08.26	Lens - Villarreal	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LTTWL
- Deportivo A Coruña
Spanish LaLiga
30.08.26	Deportivo A Coruña - Valencia	3:1 ✺
24.08.26	Málaga - Deportivo A Coruña	1:1 ✺
17.08.26	Deportivo A Coruña - Elche	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
12.08.26	Deportivo A Coruña - Real Madrid	0:1 ✺
06.08.26	Fiorentina - Deportivo A Coruña	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
12.05.18	Deportivo A Coruña - Villarreal	2:4
07.01.18	Villarreal - Deportivo A Coruña	1:1
14.05.17	Villarreal - Deportivo A Coruña	0:0
14.01.17	Deportivo A Coruña - Villarreal	0:0
Club Friendly
09.08.16	Deportivo A Coruña - Villarreal	2:0
Spanish LaLiga
08.05.16	Villarreal - Deportivo A Coruña	0:2
03.01.16	Deportivo A Coruña - Villarreal	1:2

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