Match Info

Date: 20 January 2021, Wednesday


	Villarreal B		Peña Deportiva

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.2	7
	1.52	3.15	8
	1.49	3.2	7.8
	1.49	3.16	9.45
	1.55	3.2	7.5
	1.52	3.4	7.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.85)	3.22 ↑ (2.84)	7.91 ↑ (4.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villarreal B
60.2%

Draw
28.3%

Peña Deportiva
11.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.3%

31.6%

20.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.3%

20.5%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villarreal B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Villarreal B's performance.

Peña Deportiva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Peña Deportiva might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villarreal B than the current prediction. (-28.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Villarreal B that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peña Deportiva than the current prediction. (+19.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Peña Deportiva could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Villarreal B - Peña Deportiva Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion to Segunda Division B to Group 3 (Second stage) and 7 in the zone Segunda Division B to Group 3 (Relegation Group)).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Peña Deportiva could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Peña Deportiva have a series of home games.

In this match Villarreal B is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Villarreal B won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Villarreal B won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Villarreal B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
10.01.21	Ibiza - Villarreal B	2:0 ✺
13.12.20	Villarreal B - Orihuela	2:0 ✺
06.12.20	Hércules - Villarreal B	0:0 ✺
29.11.20	Villarreal B - Valencia B	1:1 ✺
25.11.20	Villarreal B - Alcoyano	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWTTW
- Peña Deportiva
Spanish Copa del Rey
16.01.21	Peña Deportiva - Valladolid	1:4 ET ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
10.01.21	Atzeneta - Peña Deportiva	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
07.01.21	Peña Deportiva - Sabadell	1:0 penalties ✺
17.12.20	Peña Deportiva - Tarazona	4:1 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
13.12.20	Peña Deportiva - Ibiza	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 LTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
18.10.20	Peña Deportiva - Villarreal B	1:0
13.05.18	Peña Deportiva - Villarreal B	0:1
17.12.17	Villarreal B - Peña Deportiva	3:2

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