Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 24

Date: 4 March 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio de la Ceramica (Villarreal)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+, Movistar Plus+


	Villarreal B		Eldense

	1	X	2
	2.2	2.9	3.1
	2.35	2.9	2.85
	2.25	2.98	3.15
	2.41	3	3.11
	2.39	3	3.14	Watch
	2.3	2.75	3
	2.31	3.04	3.25
	2.36	2.83	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↓ (2.38)	2.93 ↑ (2.85)	3.08 ↑ (3.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villarreal B
39.2%

Draw
31.1%

Eldense
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.2%

31.9%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.5%

33.8%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villarreal B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Eldense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villarreal B than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eldense than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Villarreal B - Eldense Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Eldense (2.16) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.25 - Villarreal B (1.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Villarreal B (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Eldense (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gomez R. (G) 2. Budesca D. 6. Spatz L. M. 23. Valou J. 3. Ortiz E. 11. Lopez H. 8. Diatta A. 15. Tidiane Thiam C. 36. El Jmili N. 10. Eto'o E. 30. Garcia A.	1. Vila R. (G) 17. Clemente J. 2. Serradell A. G. 3. Smand F. 21. Ruiz D. 6. Calvo B. 12. Molina M. 18. Macho G. 11. Bellari H. 7. Quintana Nacho 20. Ibanez R.
Substitutes
24. Arguigue Safsati A. 19. Barry M. 33. Bonafe C. 26. Gaitan J. 35. Moreira Y. (G) 16. Pascual P. 21. Rodriguez I. 4. Sierra I. 22. Viveros F.	24. Alba H. 36. Bernabeu D. (G) 15. Billups B. 8. Bustillo M. 9. Dioni 4. Dumic D. 10. Fidel 5. Gaixas A. 19. Ibarrondo A. 22. Nunez R. 13. Valencia P. (G) 14. Vega O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
19', Tidiane Thiam C. 🟨,
27', Diatta A. 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 0, Diatta A. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', El Jmili N. ↓, Viveros F. ↑,
46', Serradell A. G. ↓, Gaixas A. ↑,
50', Ibanez R. 🟨,
64', Garcia A. ↓, Arguigue Safsati A. ↑,
64', Tidiane Thiam C. ↓, Pascual P. ↑,
69', Clemente J. ↓, Ibarrondo A. ↑,
72', Lopez H. ↓, Gaitan J. ↑,
73', Gaixas A. 🟨,
80', Macho G. ↓, Dioni ↑,
80', Eto'o E. ↓, Bonafe C. ↑,
90+1', 2 - 0, Arguigue Safsati A. ⚽,
90+5', Gaitan J. 🟨,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Villarreal B won 2.

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Villarreal B won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:11. (average 1.9:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Villarreal B won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:5. (average 2.8:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Villarreal B	6	4	1	1	12:6	6	13

Last Results with these Odds

Villarreal B - the odds 2.38 are the expected chance of winning is 38.18%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Villarreal B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
01.03.26	Villarreal B - Real Murcia	1:1 ✺
20.02.26	Betis B - Villarreal B	1:4 ✺
08.02.26	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Villarreal B	0:1 ✺
31.01.26	Villarreal B - Tarazona	1:1 ✺
24.01.26	Atlético Madrid B - Villarreal B	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 TWWTT
- CD Eldense
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
28.02.26	Hércules - Eldense	2:1 ✺
22.02.26	Eldense - Alcorcón	2:2 ✺
07.02.26	Eldense - Sabadell	2:1 ✺
01.02.26	Algeciras - Eldense	1:1 ✺
25.01.26	Eldense - Teruel	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
06.09.25	Eldense - Villarreal B	1:0
Club Friendly
09.08.24	Villarreal B - Eldense	0:1
Spanish LaLiga2
02.03.24	Eldense - Villarreal B	2:0
21.08.23	Villarreal B - Eldense	3:1
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
18.02.17	Villarreal B - Eldense	4:0
02.10.16	Eldense - Villarreal B	0:1
17.04.16	Eldense - Villarreal B	2:1

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