Match Info

Date: 6 February 2021, Saturday


	Extremadura UD		Villarrobledo

	1	X	2
	1.4	3.7	7.25
	1.38	4	8.5
	1.41	3.95	6.8
	1.38	4.45	9.26
	1.39	4.3	7.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.42)	4.08 ↑ (3.85)	7.9 ↑ (7.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Extremadura UD
65.9%

Draw
22.5%

Villarrobledo
11.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.9%

23.5%

12.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

13.4%

22.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Extremadura UD has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Villarrobledo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Extremadura UD than the current prediction. (-29.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Extremadura UD that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villarrobledo than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Villarrobledo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Extremadura UD - Villarrobledo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion to Segunda Division B to Group 5 (Second stage) and 10 in the zone Segunda Division B to Group 5 (Relegation Group)).

Recent matches Extremadura UD is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Villarrobledo is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Extremadura UD could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Extremadura UD is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Extremadura UD won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Extremadura UD
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
31.01.21	Badajoz - Extremadura UD	2:1 ✺
27.01.21	Extremadura UD - Don Benito	0:0 ✺
10.01.21	Extremadura UD - Socuéllamos	2:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
17.12.20	Extremadura UD - Socuéllamos	1:2 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
13.12.20	Melilla - Extremadura UD	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LTWLT
- CP Villarrobledo
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
03.02.21	Villarrobledo - Mérida AD	1:2 ✺
31.01.21	Villarrobledo - Don Benito	1:2 ✺
24.01.21	Socuéllamos - Villarrobledo	1:0 ✺
13.12.20	Villanovense - Villarrobledo	1:0 ✺
06.12.20	Villarrobledo - Talavera de la Reina	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
08.11.20	Villarrobledo - Extremadura UD	0:1

Extremadura UD - Villarrobledo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide