Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 20

Date: 1 February 2026, Sunday


	Don Benito		Badajoz

	1	X	2
	2.72	2.35	3.1
	2.94	2.2	3.45
	2.86	2.21	3.5
	2.4	2.5	3.3
	2.64	2.43	3.22
	2.9	2.16	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↑ (2.69)	2.31 ↓ (2.51)	3.33 ↑ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Don Benito
33.2%

Draw
39.4%

Badajoz
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.8%

36.3%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33%

37.2%

30.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Don Benito has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Badajoz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Don Benito than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Badajoz than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Don Benito - Badajoz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Platero P. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+3', 1 - 1, Barba J. ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Don Benito won 1.

Don Benito has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Badajoz is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Don Benito won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 6:15. (average 0.7:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Don Benito won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:11. (average 0.8:2.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Don Benito
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
25.01.26	Pueblonuevo - Don Benito	0:1 ✺
18.01.26	Don Benito - Montijo	2:0 ✺
11.01.26	Don Benito - Moralo	1:1 ✺
04.01.26	Diocesano - Don Benito	0:1 ✺
20.12.25	Don Benito - Villafranca	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWTWW
- CD Badajoz
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
25.01.26	Badajoz - Santa Amalia	2:2 ✺
18.01.26	Azuaga - Badajoz	1:2 ✺
11.01.26	Gévora - Badajoz	0:3 ✺
04.01.26	Badajoz - Calamonte	2:0 ✺
20.12.25	Puebla de la Calzada - Badajoz	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 TWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
21.09.25	Badajoz - Don Benito	0:1
Club Friendly
03.08.24	Badajoz - Don Benito	0:0
06.08.22	Don Benito - Badajoz	0:0
05.08.21	Don Benito - Badajoz	1:2
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
24.01.21	Don Benito - Badajoz	1:3
25.10.20	Badajoz - Don Benito	2:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
03.11.19	Don Benito - Badajoz	1:4

Upcoming Matches