Match Info

Date: 16 February 2020, Sunday


	Villarrobledo		Real Murcia

	1	X	2
	2.8	2.95	2.35
	2.65	2.7	2.85
	2.58	2.78	2.61
	2.82	2.86	2.83
	2.7	2.9	2.7
	2.65	3.1	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↓ (2.85)	2.88 ↓ (2.98)	2.67 ↑ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villarrobledo
33.9%

Draw
31.8%

Real Murcia
34.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.8%

30.3%

37.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.3%

22.2%

51.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villarrobledo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Real Murcia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villarrobledo than the current prediction. (-10.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Villarrobledo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Murcia than the current prediction. (+17.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Murcia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Villarrobledo - Real Murcia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CP Villarrobledo
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
08.02.20	Villarrubia - Villarrobledo	0:0 ✺
02.02.20	Villarrobledo - Granada B	0:2 ✺
26.01.20	Recreativo Huelva - Villarrobledo	1:1 ✺
19.01.20	Villarrobledo - Marbella	1:4 ✺
12.01.20	Linense - Villarrobledo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TLTLL
- Real Murcia
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
09.02.20	Real Murcia - Talavera de la Reina	0:1 ✺
02.02.20	San Fernando - Real Murcia	3:3 ✺
26.01.20	Real Murcia - Córdoba	1:0 ✺
19.01.20	Algeciras - Real Murcia	0:1 ✺
15.01.20	Real Murcia - Cadiz CF B	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
29.09.19	Real Murcia - Villarrobledo	3:0

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