The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Algeciras 26.5%
Draw 29.8%
Real Murcia 43.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.9%
30%
39.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.1%
30.2%
38.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Algeciras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
Real Murcia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Algeciras than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Murcia than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
Algeciras - Real Murcia Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Moreno I. (G) 20. Alamo J. 21. Garcia J. 9. Gonzaga M. 3. Marquez J. 6. Mayorga A. 19. Obeng I. 7. Rastrojo J. 15. Ruiz V. 11. Sanchez T. 8. Turrillo I. (C)
13. Pineiro del Alamo D. (G) 9. Benito P. A. P. 23. Bosilj D. 31. Djanbou S. 6. Gonzalez A. 30. Joao Pedro Palmberg 2. Mier J. 7. Moyita S. 3. Romero C. 18. Vicente D. 20. Zenitagoia E.
Substitutes
2. Arauz C. 13. Casado S. (G) 24. Castro O. 4. Coch A. 10. Garrido D. 16. Gomez A. 14. Nader A. 23. Riley J. . Villalba A.
16. Antonio David 1. Gazzaniga G. (G) 10. Gomez I. 22. Juan Carlos 32. Kayode A. 14. Leon P. 4. Lopez A. 19. Matheus Cadorini 26. Perez H. 29. Sarabia A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Gonzaga M. ⚽,
27', Moyita S. 🟨,
32', Djanbou S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Turrillo I. ↓, Castro O. ↑,
46', Djanbou S. ↓, Lopez A. ↑,
49', Ruiz V. 🟨,
57', Joao Pedro Palmberg ↓, Matheus Cadorini ↑,
57', Benito P. A. P. ↓, Juan Carlos ↑,
68', Marquez J. 🟨,
69', Juan Carlos 🟨,
70', Garcia J. ↓, Garrido D. ↑,
70', Marquez J. ↓, Arauz C. ↑,
77', Matheus Cadorini 🟨,
79', Alamo J. 🟨,
80', Zenitagoia E. ↓, Gomez I. ↑,
80', Alamo J. ↓, Riley J. ↑,
80', Obeng I. ↓, Coch A. ↑,
85', Castro O. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Algeciras won 0.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Murcia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Murcia will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Algeciras won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 5:12. (average 0.6:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Algeciras won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.5:1.3).
Last Results with these Odds
Real Murcia - the odds 2.34 are the expected chance of winning is 39.12%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.
Spain
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Moreno I. (G) 
Obeng I. 
Bosilj D. 
Djanbou S. 
Joao Pedro Palmberg 
Nader A. 
Gazzaniga G. (G) 
Kayode A. 
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