Match Info

Date: 6 December 2020, Sunday


	Villarrobledo		Talavera de la Reina

	1	X	2
	4.25	3.3	1.72
	4.3	3.4	1.75
	4.2	3.1	1.82
	4.71	3.14	1.93
	4.15	3.34	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.32 ↑ (2.6)	3.26 ↑ (3.2)	1.81 ↓ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villarrobledo
21.2%

Draw
28.2%

Talavera de la Reina
50.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.5%

28.1%

37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25%

20.4%

51.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villarrobledo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Villarrobledo's form might have worsened.

Talavera de la Reina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Talavera de la Reina's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villarrobledo than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Talavera de la Reina than the current prediction. (+1%)

Villarrobledo - Talavera de la Reina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Segunda Division B to Group 5 (Relegation Group) and 7 in the zone Segunda Division B to Group 5 (Relegation Group)).

Villarrobledo has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Talavera is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Talavera is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Villarrobledo won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CP Villarrobledo
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
29.11.20	Villarrobledo - Villarrubia	1:2 ✺
22.11.20	Badajoz - Villarrobledo	5:3 ✺
08.11.20	Villarrobledo - Extremadura UD	0:1 ✺
01.11.20	Don Benito - Villarrobledo	1:0 ✺
25.10.20	Villarrobledo - Socuéllamos	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLLLT
- CF Talavera de la Reina
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
29.11.20	Talavera de la Reina - Badajoz	0:3 ✺
22.11.20	Extremadura UD - Talavera de la Reina	2:2 ✺
08.11.20	Talavera de la Reina - Don Benito	1:1 ✺
01.11.20	Socuéllamos - Talavera de la Reina	1:2 ✺
25.10.20	Talavera de la Reina - Melilla	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
24.11.19	Talavera de la Reina - Villarrobledo	1:0

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