The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Villarrubia 35.7%
Draw 31.9%
Don Benito 32.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
28.9%
30.2%
40.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
21.4%
22.4%
55.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Villarrubia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Villarrubia's performance.
Don Benito has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Don Benito might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villarrubia than the current prediction. (-14.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Villarrubia that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Don Benito than the current prediction. (+22.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Don Benito could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Villarrubia - Don Benito Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Segunda Division B to Group 5 (Relegation Group) and 5 in the zone Promotion to Segunda Division B to Group 5 (Second stage)).
Villarrubia is Segunda Division B to Group 5 (Relegation Group)
Villarrubia is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Don Benito is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Recently Villarrubia have a series of guest games.
In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Villarrubia won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1-9.
Including matches at home between the teams Villarrubia won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.