Match Info

Date: 7 February 2021, Sunday


	Don Benito		Talavera de la Reina

	1	X	2
	2.65	2.85	2.55
	2.65	3.2	2.45
	2.75	2.9	2.49
	2.95	3.09	2.63
	2.44	3.2	2.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↑ (2.41)	3.05 ↓ (3.06)	2.58 ↓ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Don Benito
34.2%

Draw
30.2%

Talavera de la Reina
35.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

29.5%

32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.6%

22.5%

43.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Don Benito has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Talavera de la Reina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Don Benito than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Don Benito that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Talavera de la Reina than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Talavera de la Reina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Don Benito - Talavera de la Reina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion to Segunda Division B to Group 5 (Second stage) and 4 in the zone Promotion to Segunda Division B to Group 5 (Second stage)).

Recent matches Don Benito is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Talavera is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Talavera could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Don Benito won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Don Benito won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Don Benito
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
31.01.21	Villarrobledo - Don Benito	1:2 ✺
27.01.21	Extremadura UD - Don Benito	0:0 ✺
24.01.21	Don Benito - Badajoz	1:3 ✺
10.01.21	Don Benito - Villarrubia	3:1 ✺
13.12.20	Socuéllamos - Don Benito	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WTLWL
- CF Talavera de la Reina
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
31.01.21	Talavera de la Reina - Socuéllamos	0:0 ✺
24.01.21	Melilla - Talavera de la Reina	0:3 ✺
17.01.21	Talavera de la Reina - Mérida AD	0:1 ✺
10.01.21	Talavera de la Reina - Villanovense	1:0 ✺
13.12.20	Villarrubia - Talavera de la Reina	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
08.11.20	Talavera de la Reina - Don Benito	1:1
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
15.12.19	Don Benito - Talavera de la Reina	1:0
05.05.19	Don Benito - Talavera de la Reina	0:1
16.12.18	Talavera de la Reina - Don Benito	0:0
Club Friendly
14.08.18	Don Benito - Talavera de la Reina	0:1

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