Match Info

Date: 13 December 2020, Sunday


	Villarrubia		Talavera de la Reina

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.3	3
	2.1	3.3	3.15
	2.11	3.05	3.2
	2.2	3.31	3.46
	2.22	3.13	3.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↑ (1.94)	3.22 ↑ (3.14)	3.21 ↓ (3.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villarrubia
42.9%

Draw
28.5%

Talavera de la Reina
28.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.5%

28.8%

24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.5%

21.4%

18.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villarrubia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Talavera de la Reina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villarrubia than the current prediction. (+19.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Villarrubia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Talavera de la Reina than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Talavera de la Reina, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Villarrubia - Talavera de la Reina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion to Segunda Division B to Group 5 (Promotion Group) and 8 in the zone Segunda Division B to Group 5 (Relegation Group)).

Villarrubia is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Talavera is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Villarrubia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Villarrubia will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Villarrubia won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Villarrubia won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Villarrubia CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
05.12.20	Villarrubia - Socuéllamos	2:0 ✺
29.11.20	Villarrobledo - Villarrubia	1:2 ✺
22.11.20	Villarrubia - Melilla	1:1 ✺
08.11.20	Badajoz - Villarrubia	2:0 ✺
31.10.20	Villarrubia - Mérida AD	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WWTLW
- CF Talavera de la Reina
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
06.12.20	Villarrobledo - Talavera de la Reina	3:2 ✺
29.11.20	Talavera de la Reina - Badajoz	0:3 ✺
22.11.20	Extremadura UD - Talavera de la Reina	2:2 ✺
08.11.20	Talavera de la Reina - Don Benito	1:1 ✺
01.11.20	Socuéllamos - Talavera de la Reina	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
23.09.20	Villarrubia - Talavera de la Reina	4:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
02.02.20	Talavera de la Reina - Villarrubia	1:1
14.09.19	Villarrubia - Talavera de la Reina	1:1

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