Match Info

Date: 15 August 2020, Saturday


	Vilniaus Vytis		Dainava Alytus

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.64	3.76	4.34
	1.75	3.75	3.5
	1.76	3.76	3.48	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (1.76)	3.76 ↑ (3.75)	3.77 ↑ (3.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 10.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vilniaus Vytis
52.3%

Draw
23.9%

Dainava Alytus
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.6%

23.8%

25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.3%

18.4%

19.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vilniaus Vytis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Dainava Alytus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vilniaus Vytis than the current prediction. (+13%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vilniaus Vytis, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dainava Alytus than the current prediction. (-4%)

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 3 and 6).

Vilniaus Vytis is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Dainava is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Dainava could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Vilniaus Vytis will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Vilniaus Vytis to win the game is with odds 1.76.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Vilniaus Vytis won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Vilniaus Vytis won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vilniaus Vytis
Lithuanian Division 2
07.08.20	Nevėžis - Vilniaus Vytis	2:3 ✺
01.08.20	Vilniaus Vytis - FA Šiauliai	1:0 ✺
25.07.20	Hegelmann Litauen - Vilniaus Vytis	0:0 ✺
18.07.20	Vilniaus Vytis - Minija Kretinga	5:0 ✺
10.07.20	Jonava - Vilniaus Vytis	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWTWT
- Dainava Alytus
Lithuanian Cup
11.08.20	Dainava Alytus - Riteriai	0:2 ✺
Lithuanian Division 2
02.08.20	Dainava Alytus - Nevėžis	0:2 ✺
24.07.20	FA Šiauliai - Dainava Alytus	2:1 ✺
19.07.20	Dainava Alytus - Hegelmann Litauen	1:2 ✺
Lithuanian Cup
15.07.20	BFA Vilnius - Dainava Alytus	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian Division 2
02.08.19	Dainava Alytus - Vilniaus Vytis	0:1
05.04.19	Vilniaus Vytis - Dainava Alytus	2:3
13.10.18	Dainava Alytus - Vilniaus Vytis	2:1
15.06.18	Vilniaus Vytis - Dainava Alytus	2:2
29.09.17	Vilniaus Vytis - Dainava Alytus	2:1
Lithuanian Cup
26.06.17	Dainava Alytus - Vilniaus Vytis	3:6

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