Match Info

BOLIVIA: DIVISION PROFESIONAL - ROUND 14

Date: 21 May 2023, Sunday

Location: Quillacollo Stadium (Quillacollo)

Referee: Rueda B. (Bol)


	Vinto Atlético Palmaflor		Independiente Petroleros

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.75	6	Watch
	1.57	3.75	4.75
	1.65	3.4	4.75
	1.65	3.92	4.98
	1.6	3.6	4.8
	1.64	4.05	4.9	Watch
	1.62	3.8	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.93)	3.75 ↑ (3.23)	4.98 ↑ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vinto Atlético Palmaflor
56.9%

Draw
24.6%

Independiente Petroleros
18.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.6%

28.3%

24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8%

28.4%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vinto Atlético Palmaflor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vinto Atlético Palmaflor's performance.

Independiente Petroleros has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Independiente Petroleros might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vinto Atlético Palmaflor than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vinto Atlético Palmaflor that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Petroleros than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Independiente Petroleros could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Vinto Atlético Palmaflor - Independiente Petroleros Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Palmaflor will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Ind Petroleros will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 7 and 9).

Palmaflor is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Independiente Petroleros is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Independiente Petroleros could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Palmaflor have a series of guest games.

In this match Palmaflor is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Palmaflor won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Palmaflor won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vinto Atlético Palmaflor
Bolivian Division Profesional
12.05.23	Universitario de Vinto - Vinto Atlético Palmaflor	0:1 ✺
07.05.23	Vinto Atlético Palmaflor - Nacional Potosí	0:1 ✺
30.04.23	Jorge Wilstermann - Vinto Atlético Palmaflor	4:0 ✺
Bolivian Copa Pacena
25.04.23	The Strongest - Vinto Atlético Palmaflor	2:0 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
17.04.23	Vaca Díez - Vinto Atlético Palmaflor	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLLLL
- Independiente Petroleros
Bolivian Division Profesional
14.05.23	Independiente Petroleros - Bolívar	2:1 ✺
28.04.23	Universitario de Vinto - Independiente Petroleros	0:1 ✺
Bolivian Copa Pacena
25.04.23	Universitario de Vinto - Independiente Petroleros	2:0 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
21.04.23	Independiente Petroleros - Nacional Potosí	0:1 ✺
15.04.23	Jorge Wilstermann - Independiente Petroleros	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.3 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Bolivian Division Profesional
31.08.22	Vinto Atlético Palmaflor - Independiente Petroleros	2:1
20.10.21	Vinto Atlético Palmaflor - Independiente Petroleros	0:0
08.05.21	Independiente Petroleros - Vinto Atlético Palmaflor	2:0

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