Match Info

Division Profesional - Round 19

Date: 13 September 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Sudamericano Félix Capriles (Cochabamba) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Bolivia	17:15	Entel Gol 56
Usa	17:15	SportsEngine Play


	Universitario de Vinto		Independiente Petroleros

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.90	4.10	Watch
	1.61	3.80	4.20
	1.64	3.65	4.00	Watch
	1.64	4.01	4.38
	1.73	4.06	4.2	Watch
	1.60	3.95	4.30
	1.72	4.01	4.22	Watch
	1.60	3.85	4.30
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↑ (1.64)	3.9 ↑ (3.7)	4.21 ↑ (4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Universitario de Vinto
55.2%

Draw
23.3%

Independiente Petroleros
21.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

54%

23.9%

22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.6%

22.8%

21.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Universitario de Vinto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Independiente Petroleros has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universitario de Vinto than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Petroleros than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Universitario de Vinto - Independiente Petroleros Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Uni de Vinto will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Poveda B. (G) 76. Esdras Mendoza 5. Alcocer P. 28. Jose Pinto 70. Lazarte J. 24. Rodriguez H. 22. Calicho J. (C) 6. Gomez M. 21. Cuellar G. 79. Blanco O. 7. Dorrego H.	1. Gutierrez J. (G) 7. Cardozo R. 13. Montenegro L. 5. Palma L. 3. Crescencio L. 34. Mendoza G. 19. Cristaldo G. (C) 16. Chavez Suarez S. 6. Rojas D. 93. Willie 91. Alvarez G.
Substitutes
37. Cabrera Suarez L. 27. Calderon B. 12. Careaga J. (G) 32. Pasadore F. 15. Postigo P. 90. Saavedra D. 29. Saucedo J. 17. Torrico D. 50. Vargas D. 80. Vasquez F. 19. Veizaga J. 2. Visalla G.	39. Grass P. 99. Jeferson Carioca 20. Mercado A. 68. Morales D. 22. Rocabado Concha R. E. 4. Rodriguez L. 50. Roni Santos 14. Urdininea C. 89. Velasco J. 12. Vera J. (G)
Coaches
Straccia M.	Grass J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Calicho J. (Own goal),
40', Dorrego H. (Penalty Awarded),
44', 1 - 1, Rodriguez H. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Montenegro L. ↓, Morales D. ↑,
48', 2 - 1, Calicho J. ⚽, Cuellar G. (A),
55', Jose Pinto 🟨,
56', Cardozo R. ↓, Mercado A. ↑,
64', Calicho J. 🟨,
65', Calicho J. ↓, Torrico D. ↑,
66', Alvarez G. ↓, Jeferson Carioca ↑,
70', Mercado A. 🟨,
74', Dorrego H. ↓, Pasadore F. ↑,
74', Mendoza G. 🟨,
79', Cristaldo G. ↓, Rocabado Concha R. E. ↑,
80', Crescencio L. 🟨,
86', Esdras Mendoza ↓, Vargas D. ↑,
87', Blanco O. ↓, Calderon B. ↑,
90', 3 - 1, Cuellar G. ⚽, Pasadore F. (A),
90+5', Pasadore F. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Uni de Vinto won 2.

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

Ind Petroleros may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Uni de Vinto might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Uni de Vinto won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 25:19. (average 1.5:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Uni de Vinto won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:10. (average 2:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Independiente	23	8	5	10	31:39	-8	29
13	Universitario de Vinto	23	6	3	14	30:45	-15	21

Last Results with these Odds

Universitario de Vinto - the odds 1.64 are the expected chance of winning is 53.96%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Independiente Petroleros - the odds 4 are the expected chance of winning is 22.12%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Universitario de Vinto
Bolivian Copa Pacena
09.09.26	Universitario de Vinto - The Strongest	1:2 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
04.09.26	ABB - Universitario de Vinto	2:0 ✺
Bolivian Copa Pacena
01.09.26	Universitario de Vinto - Aurora	1:1 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
25.08.26	Universitario de Vinto - Nacional Potosí	2:0 ✺
21.08.26	The Strongest - Universitario de Vinto	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLTWL
- Independiente Petroleros
Bolivian Copa Pacena
10.09.26	Bolívar - Independiente Petroleros	1:1 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
06.09.26	Independiente Petroleros - Bolívar	0:4 ✺
Bolivian Copa Pacena
31.08.26	Real Tomayapo - Independiente Petroleros	3:0 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
27.08.26	Independiente Petroleros - Guabirá	3:1 ✺
22.08.26	Nacional Potosí - Independiente Petroleros	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Bolivian Division Profesional
24.04.26	Independiente Petroleros - Universitario de Vinto	2:1
10.12.25	Universitario de Vinto - Independiente Petroleros	2:3
Bolivian Copa Pacena
15.07.25	Independiente Petroleros - Universitario de Vinto	0:1
Bolivian Division Profesional
12.07.25	Independiente Petroleros - Universitario de Vinto	1:1
Bolivian Copa Pacena
24.06.25	Universitario de Vinto - Independiente Petroleros	3:0
Bolivian Division Profesional
09.12.24	Independiente Petroleros - Universitario de Vinto	3:2
17.08.24	Universitario de Vinto - Independiente Petroleros	1:2

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