The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Jorge Wilstermann 38.3%
Draw 26.2%
Oriente Petrolero 35.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42%
26.5%
31.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.6%
25.5%
30.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jorge Wilstermann has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
Oriente Petrolero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jorge Wilstermann than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jorge Wilstermann, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oriente Petrolero than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Oriente Petrolero, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
81.8%
9.1%
9.1%
Jorge Wilstermann - Oriente Petrolero Predictions
Users Predictions:
Jorge Wilstermann will win
(9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%). Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Jorge Wilstermann will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Salinas L. (G) 25. Dos Santos R. (C) 5. Castillo G. 27. Corrales R. 4. Rodriguez F. 18. Barron A. 15. Machado C. 3. Chumacero A. 17. Rodriguez L. 38. Rocabado I. 7. Caceres A.
12. Cardenas L. (G) 36. Diez R. 3. Alvarez S. 40. Santacruz Rodas J. F. 28. Bonilla M. 30. Berdecio J. 19. Vaca H. 33. Cristaldo J. E. 55. Vaca P. 27. Abastoflor C. 91. Alvarez G. (C)
Substitutes
29. Adrian J. 34. Ancieta C. 40. Camacho K. 31. Delgadillo M. 22. Flores E. 39. Flores Quispe O. F. 14. Pardo E. 16. Rodriguez I. 28. Soto R. 23. Velasco A. 33. Zotes S. (G)
7. Arabe C. 22. Arauz J. (G) 18. Cabrera D. 26. Cuellar V. 87. Melean A. 37. Nava F. 56. Nino De Guzman A. 52. Velasco M.
Coaches
Viviani Ribera H.
Andrada V.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
19', 1 - 0, Rocabado I. ⚽, Rodriguez F. (A),
30', 2 - 0, Barron A. ⚽, Chumacero A. (A),
36', Diez R. 🟨,
39', Castillo G. 🟨,
42', 2 - 1, Cristaldo J. E. ⚽, Abastoflor C. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Berdecio J. ↓, Cuellar V. ↑,
46', Diez R. ↓, Velasco M. ↑,
48', Vaca H. 🟨,
52', Cristaldo J. E. ↓, Nava F. ↑,
73', Chumacero A. 🟨,
79', 3 - 1, Rodriguez L. ⚽, Rodriguez F. (A),
89', Vaca H. ↓, Arabe C. ↑,
90+6', Rodriguez L. ↓, Soto R. ↑,
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Division Profesional (Relegation) and 10).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wilstermann won 0.
Recent form of Wilstermann has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Oriente Petrolero's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Wilstermann may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Wilstermann won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 22:30. (average 1.1:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Wilstermann won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:12. (average 1.5:1.2).
Last Results with these Odds
Oriente Petrolero - the odds 2.89 are the expected chance of winning is 31.5%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.
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Salinas L. (G) 
Dos Santos R. (C) 
Castillo G. 
Caceres A. 
Cristaldo J. E. 
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