Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP B - ROUND 14

Date: 19 November 2023, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Virtus CiseranoBergamo		Arconatese

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.2	2.5
	2.41	3.21	2.59
	2.41	3.21	2.59
	2.38	3.2	2.45
	2.42	3.3	2.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↓ (3.06)	3.22 (3.22)	2.54 ↑ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Virtus CiseranoBergamo
37.1%

Draw
27.8%

Arconatese
35.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

29.6%

28.2%

42.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.1%

29.7%

44.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Virtus CiseranoBergamo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Virtus CiseranoBergamo's performance.

Arconatese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Arconatese might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Virtus CiseranoBergamo than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Virtus CiseranoBergamo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arconatese than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arconatese could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 8 and 1 in the zone Promotion).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Virtus CiseranoBergamo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Virtus CiseranoBergamo won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Virtus CiseranoBergamo won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Virtus CiseranoBergamo
Italian Serie D - Group B
12.11.23	Desenzano Calvina - Virtus CiseranoBergamo	1:1 ✺
05.11.23	Virtus CiseranoBergamo - Tritium	3:0 ✺
01.11.23	Caravaggio - Virtus CiseranoBergamo	1:1 ✺
28.10.23	Virtus CiseranoBergamo - Casatese	2:0 ✺
22.10.23	Folgore Caratese - Virtus CiseranoBergamo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TWTWL
- GS Arconatese
Coppa Italia Serie D
15.11.23	Varesina - Arconatese	1:0 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group B
12.11.23	Arconatese - Casatese	3:2 ✺
05.11.23	Real Calepina - Arconatese	1:2 ✺
01.11.23	Arconatese - Villa Valle	2:1 ✺
29.10.23	Castellanzese - Arconatese	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group B
07.05.23	Arconatese - Virtus CiseranoBergamo	2:2
21.12.22	Virtus CiseranoBergamo - Arconatese	2:0
16.02.22	Arconatese - Virtus CiseranoBergamo	3:3
10.10.21	Virtus CiseranoBergamo - Arconatese	2:2

Virtus CiseranoBergamo - Arconatese

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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