Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP C - ROUND 6

Date: 1 October 2023, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Virtus Francavilla		Giugliano

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.3	4.33
	1.75	3.5	4.5
	1.74	3.52	5.03
	1.67	3.4	4.6
	1.67	3.5	4.65
	1.73	3.4	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (2.07)	3.44 ↑ (3.13)	4.59 ↑ (3.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Virtus Francavilla
53.5%

Draw
26.6%

Giugliano
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.9%

29.1%

27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

28.5%

26.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Virtus Francavilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Virtus Francavilla's performance.

Giugliano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Giugliano might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Virtus Francavilla than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Virtus Francavilla that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Giugliano than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Giugliano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Virtus Francavilla - Giugliano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Forte F. (G) 40. Accardi A. 3. De Marino D. 5. Monteagudo J. C. 8. Di Marco T. 19. Izzillo N. 77. Fornito G. 7. Biondi K. 30. Macca F. 90. Giovinco G. 9. Artistico G.	1. Russo D. (G) 2. Berman T. 6. Scognamiglio G. 24. Caldore M. 27. Rondinella G. 20. Vogiatzis V. 14. Gladestony (C) 3. Yabre M. 30. Ciuferri F. 25. De Sena C. 46. Sorrentino L.
Substitutes
17. Carella F. 1. Carretta F. (G) 18. Del Duca P. 31. Enyan E. 72. Fekete M. 4. Gavazzi F. 80. Latagliata M. 12. Lucatelli I. (G) 10. Polidori A. 21. Risolo A. 29. Vapore A. 26. Yakubiv S. 11. Zuppel D.	29. Aruta M. 12. Baldi G. (G) 9. Bernardotto G. 50. De Francesco F. 80. Di Dio F. 4. Eyango S. 18. Grasso M. 21. Labriola V. 22. Manrrique 77. Oviszach E. 90. Stabile D. P. 13. Zullo W.

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 11 and 16 in the zone Serie C ~ Group A).

Recent matches Virtus Francavilla is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Giugliano is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Virtus Francavilla is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Virtus Francavilla won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Virtus Francavilla won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Virtus Francavilla Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
24.09.23	Virtus Francavilla - ACR Messina	1:0 ✺
21.09.23	Foggia - Virtus Francavilla	0:0 ✺
17.09.23	Virtus Francavilla - Crotone	3:1 ✺
11.09.23	Benevento - Virtus Francavilla	1:0 ✺
03.09.23	Virtus Francavilla - Picerno	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WTWLL
- Giugliano Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
25.09.23	Giugliano - Latina	0:3 ✺
21.09.23	Picerno - Giugliano	4:0 ✺
18.09.23	Giugliano - Juve Stabia	0:0 ✺
11.09.23	Foggia - Giugliano	1:0 ✺
01.09.23	Giugliano - Sorrento	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
05.02.23	Virtus Francavilla - Giugliano	4:1
08.10.22	Giugliano - Virtus Francavilla	2:0

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