The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Foggia 39%
Draw 30.5%
Giugliano 30.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39%
26.8%
34.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.7%
27.3%
33.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Foggia have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
Giugliano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Foggia than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Giugliano than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
Foggia - Giugliano Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Perucchini F. (G) 20. Buttaro A. 6. Minelli A. 98. Rizzo F. 77. Olivieri E. 8. Garofalo V. 16. Petermann D. 5. Castorri G. 92. Winkelmann T. 99. D'Amico F. 9. Bevilacqua M.
1. Bolletta L. (G) 24. Caldore M. 23. Laezza G. 5. Pedro Justiniano 2. Marchisano M. 20. Cester S. 4. Zammarini R. 14. Vaglica G. 70. D'Agostino G. 11. Volpe G. 90. Ogunseye R.
Substitutes
26. Agnelli G. 27. Borbei A. (G) 40. Castaldi G. 11. Fossati D. 22. Magro F. (G) 44. Menegazzo L. 10. Nocerino L. 18. Oliva M. 47. Pazienza O. 25. Staver C. 17. Sylla Y.
10. Borello G. 15. D'Avino L. 21. De Francesco F. 8. De Rosa R. 7. Egharevba D. 17. Esposito G. 26. Forciniti L. 77. Greco 9. Isaac Prado 98. La Rocca G. (G) 25. Minei A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
15', D'Agostino G. 🟨,
27', 1 - 0, Petermann D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', D'Agostino G. ↓, Egharevba D. ↑,
46', Marchisano M. ↓, D'Avino L. ↑,
57', Vaglica G. ↓, Isaac Prado ↑,
63', 2 - 0, Petermann D. ⚽,
65', 2 - 1, Egharevba D. ⚽,
71', D'Amico F. 🟨,
74', Petermann D. ↓, Oliva M. ↑,
78', Volpe G. ↓, Borello G. ↑,
82', Cester S. ↓, De Rosa R. ↑,
87', D'Amico F. ↓, Staver C. ↑,
90+4', Pedro Justiniano 🟨,
90+4', Winkelmann T. 🟨,
90+11', 🟥,
90+12', (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 20 in the zone Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Foggia won 1.
Foggia has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Giugliano has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Giugliano may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Foggia won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 1.3:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Foggia won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).