Match Info

Date: 18 April 2021, Sunday


	Virtus Verona		Sambenedettese

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.5	4.2
	1.75	3.4	4.1
	1.73	3.5	4
	1.81	3.35	3.85
	1.75	3.64	3.86
	1.85	3.4	4
	1.75	3.42	4.6	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (2.01)	3.46 ↑ (3.21)	4.09 ↑ (3.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Virtus Verona
51.4%

Draw
26.3%

Sambenedettese
22.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.8%

28.2%

27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31%

19.5%

39%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Virtus Verona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Virtus Verona's performance.

Sambenedettese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Virtus Verona than the current prediction. (-20.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Virtus Verona that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sambenedettese than the current prediction. (+16.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sambenedettese could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.6%	10.7%	10.7%

Virtus Verona - Sambenedettese Predictions

Users Predictions: Virtus Verona will win (22 of 28 users predict this - 78.57%).
Confidence interval (95%): 63.37% – 93.77%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 11 and 9 in the zone Promotion to Serie C to Promotion to Play Offs).

Virtus Verona is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Sambenedettese is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sambenedettese could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Virtus Verona is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Virtus Verona won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Virtus Verona won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Virtus Verona
Italian Serie C Group B
11.04.21	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Virtus Verona	2:0 ✺
03.04.21	Virtus Verona - Perugia	0:3 ✺
28.03.21	Carpi - Virtus Verona	2:2 ✺
21.03.21	Virtus Verona - Fano	3:1 ✺
17.03.21	Mantova - Virtus Verona	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLTWL
- Sambenedettese Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
11.04.21	Sambenedettese - Cesena	0:2 ✺
07.04.21	Sambenedettese - Triestina	1:0 ✺
03.04.21	Matelica - Sambenedettese	1:0 ✺
24.03.21	Sambenedettese - Ravenna	0:0 ✺
21.03.21	Legnago Salus - Sambenedettese	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
23.12.20	Sambenedettese - Virtus Verona	1:0
19.10.19	Sambenedettese - Virtus Verona	1:2
31.03.19	Sambenedettese - Virtus Verona	1:1
01.12.18	Virtus Verona - Sambenedettese	1:1

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