Match Info

Date: 21 March 2021, Sunday


	Legnago Salus		Sambenedettese

	1	X	2
	3.1	2.9	2.3
	3	2.85	2.35
	2.75	2.85	2.5
	2.85	2.95	2.34
	2.92	3.32	2.4
	2.88	3.1	2.45
	3	2.94	2.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.93 ↑ (2.76)	2.99 ↑ (2.86)	2.41 ↓ (2.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Legnago Salus
31.3%

Draw
30.7%

Sambenedettese
38.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.7%

31.6%

35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.6%

20.9%

54%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Legnago Salus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Sambenedettese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Legnago Salus than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Legnago Salus that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sambenedettese than the current prediction. (+15.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sambenedettese could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Legnago Salus - Sambenedettese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Serie C to Play Out and 8 in the zone Promotion to Serie C to Promotion to Play Offs).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Sambenedettese could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Legnago Salus won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Legnago Salus
Italian Serie C Group B
17.03.21	Imolese - Legnago Salus	0:0 ✺
14.03.21	Legnago Salus - Fano	3:0 ✺
07.03.21	Matelica - Legnago Salus	5:1 ✺
03.03.21	Legnago Salus - Carpi	0:0 ✺
27.02.21	FeralpiSalò - Legnago Salus	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TWLTL
- Sambenedettese Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
14.03.21	Vis Pesaro - Sambenedettese	1:3 ✺
07.03.21	Sambenedettese - Arezzo	1:0 ✺
02.03.21	Perugia - Sambenedettese	1:1 ✺
27.02.21	Sambenedettese - Südtirol-Alto Adige	0:4 ✺
21.02.21	Modena - Sambenedettese	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
29.11.20	Sambenedettese - Legnago Salus	1:1

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