Match Info

Date: 11 April 2021, Sunday


	Sambenedettese		Cesena

	1	X	2
	2.87	2.8	2.55
	2.9	2.7	2.55
	2.85	2.65	2.6
	2.95	2.55	2.55
	3.16	2.72	2.66
	3.1	2.75	2.55
	2.95	2.89	2.52	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.97 ↑ (2.31)	2.72 ↓ (2.93)	2.57 ↓ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sambenedettese
30.8%

Draw
33.6%

Cesena
35.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

30.8%

30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55%

21.9%

21.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sambenedettese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sambenedettese's form might have worsened.

Cesena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cesena's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sambenedettese than the current prediction. (+24.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sambenedettese, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cesena than the current prediction. (-14.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cesena, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Sambenedettese - Cesena Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion to Serie C to Promotion to Play Offs and 8 in the zone Promotion to Serie C to Promotion to Play Offs).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Sambenedettese could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Sambenedettese won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sambenedettese Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
07.04.21	Sambenedettese - Triestina	1:0 ✺
03.04.21	Matelica - Sambenedettese	1:0 ✺
24.03.21	Sambenedettese - Ravenna	0:0 ✺
21.03.21	Legnago Salus - Sambenedettese	1:1 ✺
14.03.21	Vis Pesaro - Sambenedettese	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLTTW
- AC Cesena
Italian Serie C Group B
07.04.21	Ravenna - Cesena	2:2 ✺
03.04.21	Cesena - Mantova	0:0 ✺
31.03.21	Cesena - Gubbio	2:1 ✺
28.03.21	Cesena - Legnago Salus	0:3 ✺
24.03.21	FeralpiSalò - Cesena	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 TTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
19.12.20	Cesena - Sambenedettese	2:1
13.10.19	Cesena - Sambenedettese	1:3
Coppa Italia
06.08.17	Cesena - Sambenedettese	2:1

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