Match Info

Date: 3 April 2021, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Virtus Verona		Perugia

	1	X	2
	4	3	1.95
	3.9	2.95	1.95
	3.9	3.05	1.9
	3.85	2.85	1.98
	4.06	3.12	2.04
	3.8	3	2.05
	4.15	2.94	2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.95 ↑ (3.41)	2.99 ↑ (2.87)	1.98 ↓ (2.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Virtus Verona
23.2%

Draw
30.6%

Perugia
46.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

26.4%

31.4%

42.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.6%

23.4%

56.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Virtus Verona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Perugia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Virtus Verona than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Perugia than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Perugia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Virtus Verona - Perugia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 11 and 3 in the zone Promotion to Serie C to Promotion to Play Offs).

Virtus Verona is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Perugia is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Perugia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Perugia is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Virtus Verona won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Virtus Verona
Italian Serie C Group B
28.03.21	Carpi - Virtus Verona	2:2 ✺
21.03.21	Virtus Verona - Fano	3:1 ✺
17.03.21	Mantova - Virtus Verona	3:2 ✺
13.03.21	Virtus Verona - Gubbio	0:1 ✺
07.03.21	FeralpiSalò - Virtus Verona	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TWLLL
- Perugia Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
30.03.21	Fermana - Perugia	1:1 ✺
27.03.21	Imolese - Perugia	0:1 ✺
21.03.21	Perugia - Südtirol-Alto Adige	1:0 ✺
17.03.21	Gubbio - Perugia	3:2 ✺
14.03.21	Perugia - Carpi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
13.12.20	Perugia - Virtus Verona	2:2

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Perugia Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
31.10.26	Guidonia Montecelio - Perugia	✺

Virtus Verona - Perugia