The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Vis Pesaro 27.4%
Draw 41.8%
Gubbio 30.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.8%
31.3%
30%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.1%
32.4%
29%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vis Pesaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vis Pesaro's form might have worsened.
Gubbio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vis Pesaro than the current prediction. (+12.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vis Pesaro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gubbio than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
Vis Pesaro - Gubbio Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Pozzi A. (G) 3. Zoia R. 5. Tonucci D. 15. Ceccacci M. 71. Tavernaro F. 7. Pucciarelli M. 17. Paganini L. 21. Vezzoni F. 10. Di Paola M. (C) 11. Stabile D. P. 9. Nicastro F.
12. Krapikas T. (G) 15. Signorini A. (C) 5. Di Bitonto A. 17. Fazzi N. 27. Podda L. 8. Rosaia G. 21. Carraro F. 44. Hraiech S. 34. Zallu F. 19. La Mantia A. 28. Spina M.
Substitutes
77. Ascione S. 30. Beghetto A. 24. Berengo N. 33. Bocs R. 4. Bove D. 6. Di Renzo G. 16. Ferrari T. 22. Fratti D. (G) 20. Giovannini R. 12. Guarnone A. (G) 14. Jallow S. 55. Mariani E. 8. Nina C. 13. Primasso A. 99. Ventre A.
1. Bagnolini N. (G) 23. Bruscagin M. 78. Conti V. 82. Djankpata H. 73. Ghirardello T. 77. Minta A. 80. Niang O. 3. Tentardini A. 56. Tomasella M. (G) 9. Tommasini C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
18', Podda L. 🟨,
23', Signorini A. 🟨,
29', Zoia R. 🟨,
32', Fazzi N. 🟨,
34', 1 - 0, Stabile D. P. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Fazzi N. ↓, Bruscagin M. ↑,
49', Zoia R. 🟨,
49', 🟨,
51', Di Paola M. ↓, Di Renzo G. ↑,
57', 1 - 1, La Mantia A. ⚽,
62', Stabile D. P. ↓, Beghetto A. ↑,
62', Rosaia G. ↓, Tommasini C. ↑,
69', Hraiech S. 🟨,
72', La Mantia A. ↓, Ghirardello T. ↑,
73', Podda L. ↓, Tentardini A. ↑,
81', Spina M. ↓, Minta A. ↑,
84', Pucciarelli M. ↓, Nina C. ↑,
84', Nicastro F. ↓, Jallow S. ↑,
84', Tavernaro F. ↓, Mariani E. ↑,
90+3', Ceccacci M. 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 13 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vis Pesaro won 1.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Vis Pesaro won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 11:23. (average 0.7:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Vis Pesaro won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:11. (average 0.8:1.4).
Last Results with these Odds
Vis Pesaro - the odds 2.35 are the expected chance of winning is 38.75%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
Italy
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Pozzi A. (G) 
Vezzoni F. 
Krapikas T. (G) 
Bocs R. 
Jallow S. 
Minta A. 
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