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Current Win Probability
Vis Pesaro 14.6%
Draw 21.8%
Ravenna 63.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
15.8%
23.4%
60.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
15.4%
22.8%
62.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vis Pesaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
Ravenna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vis Pesaro than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ravenna than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
Vis Pesaro - Ravenna Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
25. Gomis A. (G) 2. Conti N. 7. Pucciarelli M. 79. Ebano S. 3. Barranco G. 4. Nina C. 10. Di Paola M. (C) 30. Maucci G. 47. Konate A. 9. Nicastro F. 80. Gambino G.
22. Venturi G. (G) 2. Donati G. 21. Esposito A. (C) 24. Zaro G. 3. Falbo L. 4. Vinicius 30. Orellana M. 17. Lonardi L. 97. Duca E. 27. Maggio M. 9. Rabbi S.
Substitutes
36. Bailo G. 23. Beghetto L. 24. Berengo N. 78. Carnaroli A. 31. Genovese N. 45. Giorgini P. 20. Giovannini R. 16. Guarnone A. (G) 90. Lari N. 1. Piersanti M. (G) 33. Pompilio F. 28. Rigione M. 27. Sculli F. 71. Tavernaro F. 21. Vaccaro C.
44. Bianconi A. 20. Calandrini G. 8. Casiraghi D. 1. Ciardi T. (G) 23. Fischnaller M. 6. Ilari C. 11. Soleri E. 5. Solini M. 7. Spini C. 12. Stagni T. (G) 16. Tenkorang J. 19. Viola N.
Coaches
Aglietti A.
Mandorlini A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 3)
8', 0 - 1, Lonardi L. ⚽, Vinicius (A),
10', 0 - 2, Maggio M. ⚽, Duca E. (A),
12', Nina C. 🟨,
15', Donati G. 🟨,
19', Barranco G. 🟨,
27', 0 - 3, Maggio M. ⚽, Lonardi L. (A),
30', Ebano S. ↓, Pompilio F. ↑,
42', Di Paola M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Gambino G. ↓, Lari N. ↑,
46', Nina C. ↓, Berengo N. ↑,
46', Donati G. ↓, Bianconi A. ↑,
47', Pompilio F. 🟨,
58', Konate A. 🟨,
61', Conti N. ↓, Bailo G. ↑,
64', Orellana M. ↓, Casiraghi D. ↑,
64', Vinicius ↓, Tenkorang J. ↑,
65', Rabbi S. ↓, Soleri E. ↑,
70', 0 - 4, Tenkorang J. ⚽,
76', Maggio M. ↓, Spini C. ↑,
79', Nicastro F. ↓, Giovannini R. ↑,
80', Berengo N. 🟨,
87', Spini C. 🟨,
Preview
A struggling side attempts to pull off an upset against a high-flying opponent (ranked 20th in the Relegation and 2nd in the Promotion - Serie C - Promotion - Play Offs (Quarter - finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vis Pesaro won 1.
Vis Pesaro is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Performances by Ravenna have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Ravenna holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.
In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Vis Pesaro has recorded 1 win, 3 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:6 (averaging 0.4:0.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Vis Pesaro against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 3 draws, and 0 losses, with 1:0 goals (averaging 0.3:0 per game).