Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 9

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Tonino Benelli (Pesaro) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Ramondino F. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Italy	14:30	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia


	Vis Pesaro		Grosseto

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.75	3.40	2.15
	2.8	3.4	2.2	Watch
	2.92	3.45	2.31
	2.9	3.41	2.23	Watch
	2.85	3.35	2.2
	2.92	3.32	2.15	Watch
	2.8	3.45	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.85 ↑ (2.76)	3.4 ↑ (3.29)	2.21 ↓ (2.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vis Pesaro
31.9%

Draw
26.8%

Grosseto
41.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

33.3%

27.9%

38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1%

27.8%

39%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vis Pesaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Grosseto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vis Pesaro than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grosseto than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Vis Pesaro - Grosseto Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Gomis A. (G) 2. Conti N. 45. Giorgini P. 5. Tonucci D. 33. Pompilio F. 47. Konate A. 55. Mariani E. 7. Pucciarelli M. 30. Maucci G. 9. Nicastro F. 10. Di Paola M. (C)	35. Marcu A. (G) 32. Ciraudo A. 27. Brenna D. (C) 23. Ampollini F. 19. Montini A. 29. Andreoli L. 16. Fiorani M. 11. Fiorini P. 70. Fabri F. 5. Sabattini L. 9. Gori L.
Substitutes
14. Ascione S. 36. Bailo G. 24. Berengo N. 78. Carnaroli A. 79. Ebano S. 80. Gambino G. 20. Giovannini R. 16. Guarnone A. (G) 90. Lari N. 22. Mariani M. (G) 4. Nina C. 1. Piersanti M. (G) 27. Sculli F. 6. Tomassini A. 21. Vaccaro C.	24. Alfani L. 1. Cabella M. (G) 6. Cerretelli F. 8. Damiani M. 99. Della Mora T. 25. Fantacci T. 21. Gonnelli L. 77. Lorenzelli E. 18. Lorenzini J. 10. Mastroianni F. 12. Menicucci D. (G) 91. Pitti E. 39. Tosi L.
Coaches
Gennari A.	Indiani P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
7', 0 - 1, Fiorini P. ⚽, Ciraudo A. (A),
18', Giorgini P. 🟨,
26', 1 - 1, Maucci G. ⚽,
28', 1 - 2, Fabri F. ⚽, Sabattini L. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Giorgini P. ↓, Ebano S. ↑,
46', Brenna D. ↓, Pitti E. ↑,
57', Konate A. ↓, Gambino G. ↑,
57', Pompilio F. ↓, Bailo G. ↑,
66', Fiorini P. 🟨,
69', 1 - 3, Gori L. ⚽,
70', Di Paola M. 🟨,
71', Andreoli L. ↓, Damiani M. ↑,
71', Fiorini P. ↓, Fantacci T. ↑,
71', Tonucci D. ↓, Berengo N. ↑,
75', 2 - 3, Nicastro F. ⚽,
79', Mariani E. ↓, Sculli F. ↑,
80', Sabattini L. ↓, Cerretelli F. ↑,
80', Gori L. ↓, Mastroianni F. ↑,
88', 🟨,
90', Bailo G. 🟨,

Preview

A lower-table team faces a stern test hosting a top-ranking contender (ranked 20th in the Relegation and 3rd in the Promotion - Serie C - Promotion - Play Offs (1/8 - finals)).

Recent results have been tough for Vis Pesaro (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Performances by Grosseto have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Grosseto may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Grosseto holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Vis Pesaro has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:2 (averaging 1.5:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Vis Pesaro against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 2:1 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Grosseto	11	6	4	1	23:13	10	22
20	Vis Pesaro	10	1	1	8	10:24	-14	4

Last Results with these Odds

Vis Pesaro - the odds 2.76 are the expected chance of winning is 33.29%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Grosseto - the odds 2.37 are the expected chance of winning is 38.77%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SSD Vis Pesaro 1898
Italian Serie C Group B
27.09.26	Vis Pesaro - Guidonia Montecelio	2:1 ✺
21.09.26	Spezia - Vis Pesaro	3:1 ✺
16.09.26	Vis Pesaro - Reggiana	1:4 ✺
12.09.26	Forlì - Vis Pesaro	2:1 ✺
05.09.26	Vis Pesaro - Ostia Mare	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WLLLL
- FC Grosseto
Italian Serie C Group B
03.10.26	Grosseto - Sambenedettese	1:3 ✺
26.09.26	Pineto - Grosseto	0:4 ✺
20.09.26	Grosseto - Perugia	2:0 ✺
16.09.26	Grosseto - Campobasso	2:2 ✺
12.09.26	Pianese - Grosseto	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
12.03.22	Vis Pesaro - Grosseto	2:1
31.10.21	Grosseto - Vis Pesaro	1:1

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