Match Info

Date: 9 October 2022, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Vis Pesaro		San Donato Tavarnelle

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.9	2.95
	2.25	2.95	3.05
	2.2	2.85	3.2
	2.28	3.1	3.24
	2.4	2.88	2.9
	2.19	3.04	3.25	Watch
	2.24	3.05	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↑ (1.83)	2.97 ↓ (3.25)	3.12 ↓ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vis Pesaro
40.2%

Draw
30.6%

San Donato Tavarnelle
29.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50%

28.2%

21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.7%

27.3%

21.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vis Pesaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vis Pesaro's form might have worsened.

San Donato Tavarnelle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting San Donato Tavarnelle's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vis Pesaro than the current prediction. (+11.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vis Pesaro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Donato Tavarnelle than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for San Donato Tavarnelle, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	33.3%	33.3%

Vis Pesaro - San Donato Tavarnelle Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Vis Pesaro will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). San Donato will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vis Pesaro: 2.5% – 64.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs and 15).

Recent matches Vis Pesaro is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

San Donato has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

San Donato could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Vis Pesaro have a series of guest games.

Vis Pesaro will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SSD Vis Pesaro 1898
Coppa Italia Serie C
05.10.22	Pescara - Vis Pesaro	6:0 ✺
Italian Serie C Group B
01.10.22	Sassari Torres - Vis Pesaro	2:2 ✺
24.09.22	Vis Pesaro - Ancona	0:3 ✺
18.09.22	Pontedera - Vis Pesaro	1:1 ✺
14.09.22	Olbia - Vis Pesaro	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LTLTW
- San Donato Tavarnelle
Coppa Italia Serie C
05.10.22	Viterbese - San Donato Tavarnelle	2:0 ✺
Italian Serie C Group B
02.10.22	San Donato Tavarnelle - Lucchese	0:2 ✺
24.09.22	Reggiana - San Donato Tavarnelle	2:0 ✺
18.09.22	San Donato Tavarnelle - Recanatese	0:0 ✺
14.09.22	San Donato Tavarnelle - Carrarese	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLTL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SSD Vis Pesaro 1898
Italian Serie C Group B
01.11.26	Gubbio - Vis Pesaro	✺
28.10.26	Atalanta U23 - Vis Pesaro	✺

Vis Pesaro - San Donato Tavarnelle