Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 10

Date: 20 October 2025, Monday

Location: Stadio Ettore Mannucci (Pontedera)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253


	Pontedera		Vis Pesaro

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.78	3.1	2.45
	2.83	3.25	2.42
	2.71	2.96	2.71	Watch
	2.72	3.06	2.41	Watch
	2.45	3	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↑ (2.51)	3.07 ↓ (3.15)	2.5 ↓ (2.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pontedera
33.8%

Draw
29.7%

Vis Pesaro
36.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.2%

28.9%

34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

28.3%

34.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pontedera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Vis Pesaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pontedera than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vis Pesaro than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Pontedera - Vis Pesaro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Biagini V. (G) 6. Gueye O. 19. Pretato M. 3. Vona E. 21. Perretta G. 14. Manfredonia M. 10. Ladinetti R. 7. Migliardi F. 17. Vitali P. 11. Ianesi S. 29. Andolfi T.	1. Pozzi A. (G) 15. Ceccacci M. 13. Primasso A. 4. Bove D. 21. Vezzoni F. 7. Pucciarelli M. 24. Berengo N. 55. Mariani E. 3. Zoia R. 14. Jallow S. 9. Nicastro F.
Substitutes
24. Bassanini R. 33. Battimelli G. 32. Beghetto L. 23. Cerretti C. 27. Coviello A. 8. Faggi F. 4. Milazzo S. 25. Nabian H. 18. Paolieri L. 20. Pietrelli R. 16. Polizzi M. 30. Strada N. (G) 26. Tempre M. 1. Vannucchi T. (G)	77. Ascione S. 30. Beghetto A. 33. Bocs R. 23. Forte M. 72. Franchetti Rosada L. 22. Fratti D. (G) 12. Guarnone A. (G) 8. Nina C. 11. Stabile D. P. 71. Tavernaro F. 99. Ventre A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Gueye O. (Own goal),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Gueye O. ↓, Polizzi M. ↑,
54', 0 - 2, Jallow S. ⚽,
70', Mariani E. ↓, Tavernaro F. ↑,
76', Bove D. ↓, Nina C. ↑,
76', Jallow S. ↓, Stabile D. P. ↑,
77', Vitali P. ↓, Nabian H. ↑,
79', Pretato M. 🟨,
85', Manfredonia M. ↓, Pietrelli R. ↑,
85', Andolfi T. ↓, Battimelli G. ↑,
85', Vona E. 🟨,
89', Battimelli G. 🟨,
90+7', Battimelli G. 🟨,
90+9', Vezzoni F. ↓, Forte M. ↑,
90+10', Berengo N. ↓, Bocs R. ↑,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 16 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 15)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pontedera won 1.

Recent form of Pontedera has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Vis Pesaro has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Vis Pesaro is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Pontedera won 1 match, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 0.8:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Pontedera won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.5:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Pontedera
Italian Serie C Group B
12.10.25	Ascoli - Pontedera	5:0 ✺
05.10.25	Gubbio - Pontedera	1:1 ✺
27.09.25	Pontedera - Forlì	2:1 ✺
23.09.25	Ternana - Pontedera	2:1 ✺
19.09.25	Pontedera - Campobasso	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LTWLL
- SSD Vis Pesaro 1898
Italian Serie C Group B
12.10.25	Vis Pesaro - Sassari Torres	0:0 ✺
04.10.25	Campobasso - Vis Pesaro	2:2 ✺
27.09.25	Vis Pesaro - Gubbio	1:1 ✺
23.09.25	Forlì - Vis Pesaro	3:1 ✺
20.09.25	Vis Pesaro - Pianese	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
04.05.25	Vis Pesaro - Pontedera	1:1
Italian Serie C Group B
19.01.25	Pontedera - Vis Pesaro	0:1
14.09.24	Vis Pesaro - Pontedera	2:0
02.03.24	Vis Pesaro - Pontedera	0:1
26.10.23	Pontedera - Vis Pesaro	0:0
15.02.23	Vis Pesaro - Pontedera	1:1
18.09.22	Pontedera - Vis Pesaro	1:1

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