Match Info

Date: 21 October 2020, Wednesday


	Vis Pesaro		Triestina

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.3	2
	3.25	3.2	2.05	Watch
	3.5	3.2	1.95
	3.35	3	2.05
	3.45	3.34	2.1
	3.5	3.1	2.1
	3.34	3.34	2.07	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.41 ↑ (2.98)	3.21 ↑ (3.1)	2.05 ↓ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vis Pesaro
26.8%

Draw
28.5%

Triestina
44.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.3%

29.1%

40.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.2%

22.2%

53.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vis Pesaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Triestina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vis Pesaro than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Triestina than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Triestina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Vis Pesaro - Triestina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Limited number of spectators.

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 15 and 7 in the zone Promotion to Serie C to Promotion to Play Offs).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Triestina will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Vis Pesaro won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 1-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Vis Pesaro won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SSD Vis Pesaro 1898
Italian Serie C Group B
17.10.20	Virtus Verona - Vis Pesaro	0:0 ✺
11.10.20	Vis Pesaro - Matelica	2:1 ✺
08.10.20	Ravenna - Vis Pesaro	2:1 ✺
04.10.20	Modena - Vis Pesaro	3:1 ✺
26.09.20	Vis Pesaro - Legnago Salus	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TWLLT
- Unione Triestina 2012
Italian Serie C Group B
17.10.20	Triestina - Ravenna	2:1 ✺
11.10.20	Legnago Salus - Triestina	3:0 ✺
07.10.20	Triestina - Modena	1:0 ✺
04.10.20	Cesena - Triestina	0:2 ✺
Coppa Italia
29.09.20	Monza - Triestina	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
16.02.20	Triestina - Vis Pesaro	4:0
29.09.19	Vis Pesaro - Triestina	1:2
29.12.18	Vis Pesaro - Triestina	0:1
18.09.18	Triestina - Vis Pesaro	2:0

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