Match Info

Date: 14 November 2021, Sunday


	Modena		Vis Pesaro

	1	X	2
	2	2.85	3.8
	2	2.75	4
	2.05	2.75	3.85
	1.98	2.9	4.36
	2	3.1	4
	1.95	3.24	3.84	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↑ (1.65)	2.93 ↓ (3.64)	3.98 ↓ (5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Modena
45.8%

Draw
31.2%

Vis Pesaro
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.1%

25.4%

18.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.9%

21%

15.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Modena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Modena's form might have worsened.

Vis Pesaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Modena than the current prediction. (+22.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Modena, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vis Pesaro than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vis Pesaro, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Modena - Vis Pesaro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Group B (Play Offs) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Group B (Play Offs)).

Modena is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Vis Pesaro is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Vis Pesaro could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Modena will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Modena won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Modena won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Modena
Italian Serie C Group B
07.11.21	Siena - Modena	1:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
03.11.21	Modena - Piacenza	4:5 penalties ✺
Italian Serie C Group B
31.10.21	Modena - Carrarese	2:0 ✺
24.10.21	Olbia - Modena	0:3 ✺
19.10.21	Pescara - Modena	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 WLWWW
- SSD Vis Pesaro 1898
Italian Serie C Group B
07.11.21	Vis Pesaro - Reggiana	0:3 ✺
31.10.21	Grosseto - Vis Pesaro	1:1 ✺
23.10.21	Vis Pesaro - Gubbio	1:0 ✺
19.10.21	Virtus Entella - Vis Pesaro	0:0 ✺
16.10.21	Vis Pesaro - Cesena	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Coppa Italia Serie C
21.08.21	Vis Pesaro - Modena	0:1
Italian Serie C Group B
30.01.21	Vis Pesaro - Modena	1:0
04.10.20	Modena - Vis Pesaro	3:1
01.12.19	Modena - Vis Pesaro	3:1

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