Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group B - Round 22

Date: 12 January 2025, Sunday

Location: Tonino Benelli (Pesaro)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, Sky Sport 255


	Vis Pesaro		Legnago Salus

	1	X	2
	1.49	3.75	5.5
	1.49	3.5	5.2
	1.64	3.67	5.09	Watch
	1.5	3.6	6.5
	1.46	3.82	6.55	Watch
	1.49	3.5	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↑ (1.4)	3.64 ↓ (3.82)	5.67 ↓ (7.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vis Pesaro
59.5%

Draw
24.7%

Legnago Salus
15.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.9%

23.4%

12.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.7%

22.1%

12%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vis Pesaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Legnago Salus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vis Pesaro than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vis Pesaro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Legnago Salus than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Vis Pesaro - Legnago Salus Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Vis Pesaro will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Vukovic A. (G) 6. Palomba L. 5. Tonucci D. 3. Zoia R. 77. Afonso Peixoto 7. Pucciarelli M. 17. Paganini L. 34. Cannavo K. 10. Di Paola M. (C) 11. Molina J. I. 9. Nicastro F.	91. Perucchini F. (G) 23. Muteba V. 26. Noce M. 27. Ampollini F. 21. Ruggeri G. 70. Leoncini M. 25. Bombagi F. 10. Demirovic E. 93. Franzolini A. 11. Zanetti L. (C) 99. Basso Ricci A.
Substitutes
4. Bove D. 60. Busato L. 15. Ceccacci M. 23. Forte M. 21. Gambino G. 12. Mariani M. (G) 8. Nina C. 20. Obi J. 90. Okoro A. 30. Orellana C. 33. Tato L. (G) 71. Tavernaro F.	73. Ballan L. 20. Banse O. 67. Barbera D. 38. Berto A. (G) 8. Casarotti E. 19. Diaby A. 30. Ibrahim O. 7. Morello M. 1. Rigon A. (G) 9. Svidercoschi S. 4. Tanco G. J. 31. Tonica D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Nicastro F. ⚽,
7', Demirovic E. 🟨,
31', Tonucci D. 🟨,
41', Perucchini F. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Demirovic E. ↓, Morello M. ↑,
46', Leoncini M. 🟨,
47', 2 - 0, Palomba L. ⚽,
51', 3 - 0, Zoia R. ⚽,
57', Leoncini M. ↓, Diaby A. ↑,
57', Muteba V. ↓, Tanco G. J. ↑,
58', Tonucci D. ↓, Bove D. ↑,
58', Nicastro F. ↓, Okoro A. ↑,
68', Zanetti L. ↓, Ballan L. ↑,
73', Afonso Peixoto ↓, Tavernaro F. ↑,
77', Basso Ricci A. ↓, Svidercoschi S. ↑,
82', Zoia R. 🟨,
88', Molina J. I. ↓, Busato L. ↑,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Vis Pesaro is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Legnago Salus is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Vis Pesaro is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Vis Pesaro won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:4 (average 1.3:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Vis Pesaro won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SSD Vis Pesaro 1898
Italian Serie C Group B
06.01.25	Arezzo - Vis Pesaro	0:0 ✺
22.12.24	Vis Pesaro - Sassari Torres	1:3 ✺
15.12.24	Vis Pesaro - Milan Futuro	2:1 ✺
07.12.24	SPAL - Vis Pesaro	0:1 ✺
30.11.24	Vis Pesaro - Lucchese	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TLWWW
- FC Legnago Salus
Italian Serie C Group B
05.01.25	Legnago Salus - Campobasso	0:0 ✺
20.12.24	Pontedera - Legnago Salus	0:0 ✺
14.12.24	Legnago Salus - Ascoli	0:1 ✺
07.12.24	Pescara - Legnago Salus	0:1 ✺
30.11.24	Legnago Salus - Carpi	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28 TTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
08.09.24	Legnago Salus - Vis Pesaro	0:1
24.01.21	Legnago Salus - Vis Pesaro	2:1
26.09.20	Vis Pesaro - Legnago Salus	2:2

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